Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Francisco Cerundolo vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #18
58%
VS

Gabriel Diallo

Rank: #54
42%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Cerundolo

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Ranking Trends

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Current #18 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #26 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #30 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #29 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #27 2024-05-27

Gabriel Diallo

  • Current #54 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #89 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #86 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #143 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #166 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 46.4
ELO Rating: 1839.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1730.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 14.6
Grass: 12.5
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 89.3

Gabriel Diallo

Form Index: 37.0
ELO Rating: 909.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1569.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.3
Clay: 7.0
Grass: 5.3
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 86.8

Recent Matches

Francisco Cerundolo
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Gabriel Diallo
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francisco Cerundolo
vs
1
Gabriel Diallo
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at Roland Garros, Francisco Cerundolo faces Gabriel Diallo on the clay courts of France. With a predicted win probability of 57.54% for Cerundolo against Diallo's 42.46%, the match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 37 games played.

Match Analysis

Francisco Cerundolo, currently ranked 18th, boasts a form index of 46.39 and an Elo rating of 1839, indicating a strong competitive edge. His surface strength index of 14.60 suggests proficiency on clay, and with a mean serve index of 97.13, he has a solid serving game. In comparison, Gabriel Diallo ranks 54th with a lower form index of 37.05 and an Elo rating of 909. His surface strength index is notably weaker at 7.01, and while his mean serve index of 96.24 is close to Cerundolo's, the differences in their mean return indexes—Cerundolo at 89.29 versus Diallo's 86.82—may prove significant. In their recent performances, Cerundolo has faced challenges, losing to Jiri Lehecka and Jannik Sinner in his last two matches, although he did secure a victory against Pedro Martinez. Diallo, on the other hand, has encountered difficulties as well, losing to Marcos Giron and Lorenzo Musetti but achieving a success against Grigor Dimitrov in a closely contested match. Both players exhibit recent inconsistency, but Cerundolo's higher ranking and better overall stats suggest he has the potential to navigate this match more effectively.

Final Prediction

Cerundolo's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and stronger return index provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match. A key factor to observe will be how well both players handle the pressure on clay, particularly Cerundolo's ability to capitalize on break points given his stronger return game.

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