Stuttgart Germany Grass Atp 250 Round of 32

Roman Safiullin vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction

Roman Safiullin

Rank: #74
50%
VS

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Rank: #36
50%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

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Ranking Trends

Roman Safiullin

  • Current #74 2025-06-09
  • 3 mo ago #69 2025-03-03
  • 6 mo ago #60 2024-12-09
  • 9 mo ago #56 2024-09-09
  • 12 mo ago #43 2024-06-10

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

  • Current #36 2025-06-09
  • 3 mo ago #30 2025-03-03
  • 6 mo ago #31 2024-12-09
  • 9 mo ago #51 2024-09-09
  • 12 mo ago #66 2024-06-10

Player Metrics

Roman Safiullin

Form Index: 16.0
ELO Rating: 814.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1590.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.6
Clay: 6.7
Grass: 9.1
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 88.2

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 42.6
ELO Rating: 1263.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1525.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 10.7
Grass: 13.8
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 82.8

Recent Matches

Roman Safiullin
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Roman Safiullin
vs
0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The ATP 250 tournament in Stuttgart, Germany, features a Round of 32 match on grass between Roman Safiullin and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. The match is expected to be closely contested, with Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard slightly favored to win at a probability of 50.17%, compared to Safiullin’s 49.83%. The predicted total number of games played is 24.

Match Analysis

Roman Safiullin, currently ranked 74th, has a form index of 16.04 and an Elo rating of 814.38. He demonstrates a solid mean serve index of 97.58, making him slightly competitive in serving, while his mean return index stands at 88.18. Although his surface strength index is 9.08, it may not sufficiently leverage his performance on grass, especially after a string of recent losses, including three consecutive matches on clay where he failed to secure a win. In contrast, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is ranked 36th with a higher form index of 42.64 and an Elo rating of 1263.53. His mean serve index is marginally higher at 97.83, alongside a mean return index of 82.80. While both players exhibit a strong serve, Safiullin has a superior return index of over 5 points, which could play a crucial role in the match dynamics. Mpetshi Perricard's recent performances include a mix of results, with a win in the second round of Roland Garros but a loss in his last match, indicating a need to regain momentum.

Final Prediction

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard holds a slight edge due to his higher ranking, form index, and recent competitive experience on tour. The key factor to watch will be how well each player can adapt their play style to the grass surface, particularly in serving and returning effectively under pressure.

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