Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 64

Pedro Martinez vs Hubert Hurkacz Prediction

Pedro Martinez

Rank: #49
29%
VS

Hubert Hurkacz

Rank: #31
71%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Hubert Hurkacz

Player Metrics

Pedro Martinez

Form Index: 39.1
ELO Rating: 1110.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1560.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 92.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.7
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 88.4

Hubert Hurkacz

Form Index: 33.1
ELO Rating: 2327.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1811.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.4
Clay: 22.7
Grass: 23.8
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 84.3

Recent Matches

Pedro Martinez

  • Last Match: vs Mattia Bellucci (2-0) clay Rome 92 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (0-2) clay Madrid 108 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Arthur Fils (0-2) clay Barcelona 68 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (2-1) clay Barcelona 198 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (1-2) clay Monte Carlo 188 min

Hubert Hurkacz

  • Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (0-2) clay Madrid 87 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Indian Wells 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (2-0) hard Indian Wells 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Zhizhen Zhang (1-2) hard Marseille 128 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-2) hard Rotterdam 140 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Pedro Martinez
vs
1
Hubert Hurkacz
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Pedro Martinez and Hubert Hurkacz at the Rome Masters 1000 presents an intriguing clash on clay. With Hurkacz favored to win, he carries a probability of 71.37%, while Martinez has a 28.63% chance of victory. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 24 games played.

Match Analysis

Pedro Martinez, currently ranked 49, has a form index of 39.14 and an Elo rating of 1110.14. His fatigue level stands at 92.0 minutes, indicating a considerable toll from previous matches. Martinez's surface strength index is relatively low at 9.39, while his mean serve index is 96.37 and mean return index is 88.43. Conversely, Hubert Hurkacz, ranked 31, boasts a significantly higher Elo rating of 2327.67 and a surface strength index of 22.68. His mean serve index is slightly superior at 97.16, although his mean return index of 84.31 is lower than Martinez's. The difference in their mean serve index of just under 1 point suggests a close contest in serving capabilities. In their recent performances, Martinez has shown mixed results; he won his last match against Mattia Bellucci with a 2-0 set score, but struggled in prior matches against Francisco Comesana and Arthur Fils, losing both. Hurkacz, on the other hand, has faced challenges recently, losing his last two matches against Benjamin Bonzi and Alex de Minaur, both on clay and hard surfaces respectively. However, his victory against Hugo Gaston shows that he is capable of strong performances.

Final Prediction

Hurkacz's higher ranking, Elo rating, and surface strength index provide him with a clear advantage heading into this matchup. Additionally, his lower fatigue level could prove crucial, enabling him to maintain a higher level of play throughout the encounter. A key factor to observe will be how both players manage their service games, particularly given Hurkacz's slight edge in serving ability.