Bastad Sweden Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Hugo Gaston vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Prediction

Hugo Gaston

Rank: #86
52%
VS

Chun-Hsin Tseng

Rank: #96
48%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Hugo Gaston

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Ranking Trends

Hugo Gaston

  • Current #86 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #82 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #81 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #77 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #81 2024-07-15

Chun-Hsin Tseng

  • Current #96 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #103 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #119 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #125 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #155 2024-07-15

Player Metrics

Hugo Gaston

Form Index: 29.2
ELO Rating: 713.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1553.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.5
Clay: 7.2
Grass: 6.0
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 89.5

Chun-Hsin Tseng

Form Index: 20.8
ELO Rating: 513.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1515.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.8
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 94.4
Return Rating: 86.7

Recent Matches

Hugo Gaston
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

Chun-Hsin Tseng
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Hugo Gaston
vs
0
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Hugo Gaston and Chun-Hsin Tseng in the Round of 32 at the Bastad tournament, held on clay in Sweden, promises a competitive showdown. With a slim edge, Hugo Gaston is predicted to win, holding a probability of 52.02% compared to Tseng's 47.98%. The anticipated total number of games played is approximately 23.

Match Analysis

Hugo Gaston, currently ranked 86, boasts a form index of 29.20 and an Elo rating of 713.12, indicating a solid competitive standard. His surface strength index of 7.20 reflects proficiency on clay, complemented by a mean serve index of 96.57 and a mean return index of 89.50, both of which significantly outweigh Tseng's metrics. Conversely, Chun-Hsin Tseng, ranked 96, has a lower form index of 20.76 and an Elo rating of 513.37. His surface strength index of 4.89, along with a mean serve index of 94.38 and a return index of 86.70, indicates that he may struggle against Gaston's higher capabilities. In their recent performances, Gaston has had mixed results, winning one out of his last three matches, notably securing a win at Roland Garros on clay. Conversely, Tseng has faced a challenging stretch, losing all three of his last matches, primarily on grass, which may hinder his confidence heading into this encounter on clay.

Final Prediction

Hugo Gaston's edge in both serve and return indices, coupled with his recent success on clay, positions him favorably against Tseng. A critical factor to watch will be Gaston's ability to exploit Tseng's weaker return game, which could be pivotal in determining the match's outcome.

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