Eastbourne Great Britain Grass Atp 250 Round of 32

Jacob Fearnley vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Jacob Fearnley

Rank: #51
38%
VS

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #24
62%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Flavio Cobolli

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Ranking Trends

Jacob Fearnley

  • Current #51 2025-06-23
  • 3 mo ago #83 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #99 2024-12-23
  • 9 mo ago #126 2024-09-23
  • 12 mo ago #271 2024-06-24

Flavio Cobolli

  • Current #24 2025-06-23
  • 3 mo ago #43 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #32 2024-12-23
  • 9 mo ago #32 2024-09-23
  • 12 mo ago #49 2024-06-24

Player Metrics

Jacob Fearnley

Form Index: 44.4
ELO Rating: 950.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1550.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.6
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 5.8
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 88.9

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 61.9
ELO Rating: 1434.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1639.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 12.2
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Jacob Fearnley
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Flavio Cobolli
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jacob Fearnley
vs
0
Flavio Cobolli
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Jacob Fearnley and Flavio Cobolli takes place in the Round of 32 at the Eastbourne tournament, held on grass as part of an ATP 250 event. The predicted winner is Flavio Cobolli, with a probability of winning set at 61.56%, while Jacob Fearnley has a probability of 38.44%. The match is anticipated to feature a total of around 22 games.

Match Analysis

Jacob Fearnley, currently ranked 51, has a form index of 44.42 and an Elo rating of 950.23. His surface strength index stands at 5.77, indicating a moderate ability on grass. With a mean serve index of 96.08 and a mean return index of 88.86, Fearnley has shown some solid performances, although his recent form has been inconsistent. In his last three matches, he lost convincingly to Jiri Lehecka and Brandon Nakashima but managed a victory against Corentin Moutet, which may suggest some potential for an upset. On the other hand, Flavio Cobolli, ranked 24, holds a stronger form index of 61.86 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 1434.45. His surface strength index is also superior at 12.25, indicating he is more adept on grass compared to Fearnley. Although his mean serve index is slightly lower at 95.51, his return index of 88.04 suggests he can hold his own in rallies. Cobolli's recent performances have been mixed, with a loss to Alexander Zverev but victories against Denis Shapovalov and Joao Fonseca, showcasing his capability to compete against higher-ranked opponents.

Final Prediction

Flavio Cobolli's higher ranking, better form index, and overall stronger performances on grass give him a significant edge heading into this match. A key factor to monitor will be Cobolli's ability to capitalize on his serve and return game, which may prove critical in dictating the flow of the match against Fearnley.

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