Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Jacob Fearnley vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Jacob Fearnley

Rank: #57
36%
VS

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #22
64%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Ugo Humbert

Player Metrics

Jacob Fearnley

Form Index: 59.6
ELO Rating: 797.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1548.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.6
Clay: 6.8
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 88.7

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 45.0
ELO Rating: 2138.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1674.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.5
Clay: 16.2
Grass: 21.9
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 84.9

Recent Matches

Jacob Fearnley

  • Last Match: vs Stan Wawrinka (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (0-2) clay Geneva 70 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Dusan Lajovic (2-0) clay Geneva 72 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (0-2) clay Rome 116 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Fabio Fognini (2-0) clay Rome 80 min

Ugo Humbert

  • Last Match: vs Christopher O'Connell (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) clay Rome 69 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (1-2) clay Madrid 150 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) clay Munich 83 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Nicolas Jarry (2-1) clay Munich 140 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jacob Fearnley
vs
0
Ugo Humbert
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Jacob Fearnley and Ugo Humbert at Roland Garros marks an exciting Round of 64 clash on clay. With Humbert priced as the favorite, he holds a 64.02% probability of winning, compared to Fearnley’s 35.98%. A total of approximately 37 games are expected to be played during this encounter.

Match Analysis

Jacob Fearnley, currently ranked 57, has a form index of 59.59 and an Elo rating of 797.37. He has shown resilience in his recent matches, notably defeating Stan Wawrinka in straight sets but also facing a setback against Alexei Popyrin. Fearnley’s cumulative fatigue stands at 174 minutes from this tournament, which may impact his stamina. His surface strength index of 6.78 indicates limited proficiency on clay, though he boasts a mean serve index of 96.35 and a mean return index of 88.69. On the other hand, Ugo Humbert is significantly better positioned with a rank of 22, a form index of 44.96, and a much higher Elo rating of 2138.87. Despite some inconsistency in his last three matches, Humbert demonstrated his clay-court capabilities by winning against Christopher O'Connell. His surface strength index is substantially higher at 16.22, reflecting a stronger adaptation to clay. Moreover, Humbert's mean serve index is 95.76 and his mean return index is 84.91, showing a close contest in serving but a notable difference in returning prowess, with Fearnley having an advantage in that aspect.

Final Prediction

Ugo Humbert's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and better adaptation to clay give him a definitive edge in this matchup. Key to watch will be how Fearnley, despite his recent victory, manages his fatigue against Humbert’s overall stronger clay performance and returning ability.