Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Jacob Fearnley vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Jacob Fearnley

Rank: #57
36%
VS

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #22
64%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Ugo Humbert

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Ranking Trends

Jacob Fearnley

  • Current #57 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #81 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #98 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #158 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #522 2024-05-27

Ugo Humbert

  • Current #22 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #15 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #14 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #17 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #16 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Jacob Fearnley

Form Index: 59.6
ELO Rating: 797.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1548.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.6
Clay: 6.8
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 88.7

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 45.0
ELO Rating: 2138.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1674.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.5
Clay: 16.2
Grass: 21.9
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 84.9

Recent Matches

Jacob Fearnley
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

Ugo Humbert
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jacob Fearnley
vs
0
Ugo Humbert
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Jacob Fearnley and Ugo Humbert at Roland Garros marks an exciting Round of 64 clash on clay. With Humbert priced as the favorite, he holds a 64.02% probability of winning, compared to Fearnley’s 35.98%. A total of approximately 37 games are expected to be played during this encounter.

Match Analysis

Jacob Fearnley, currently ranked 57, has a form index of 59.59 and an Elo rating of 797.37. He has shown resilience in his recent matches, notably defeating Stan Wawrinka in straight sets but also facing a setback against Alexei Popyrin. Fearnley’s cumulative fatigue stands at 174 minutes from this tournament, which may impact his stamina. His surface strength index of 6.78 indicates limited proficiency on clay, though he boasts a mean serve index of 96.35 and a mean return index of 88.69. On the other hand, Ugo Humbert is significantly better positioned with a rank of 22, a form index of 44.96, and a much higher Elo rating of 2138.87. Despite some inconsistency in his last three matches, Humbert demonstrated his clay-court capabilities by winning against Christopher O'Connell. His surface strength index is substantially higher at 16.22, reflecting a stronger adaptation to clay. Moreover, Humbert's mean serve index is 95.76 and his mean return index is 84.91, showing a close contest in serving but a notable difference in returning prowess, with Fearnley having an advantage in that aspect.

Final Prediction

Ugo Humbert's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and better adaptation to clay give him a definitive edge in this matchup. Key to watch will be how Fearnley, despite his recent victory, manages his fatigue against Humbert’s overall stronger clay performance and returning ability.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel