Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinn Prediction

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #18
60%
VS

Ethan Quinn

Rank: #86
40%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

Ranking Trends

Jakub Mensik

  • Current Rank: #18 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #21 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #47 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #49 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #64 (2024-08-12)

Ethan Quinn

  • Current Rank: #86 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #114 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #199 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #243 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #246 (2024-08-12)

Player Metrics

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 50.3
ELO Rating: 1439.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1628.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.5
Clay: 9.8
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 87.3

Ethan Quinn

Form Index: 50.8
ELO Rating: 813.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 98.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 3.5
Serve Rating: 93.8
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Jakub Mensik
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) hard Toronto 76 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tristan Boyer (2-0) hard Toronto 89 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Marcos Giron (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Hugo Gaston (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Ethan Quinn
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-0) hard Cincinnati 98 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) hard Toronto 112 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Yoshihito Nishioka (2-0) hard Toronto 101 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) hard Washington 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Christopher O'Connell (2-0) hard Washington 71 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Jakub Mensik
vs
0
Ethan Quinn
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Jakub Mensik and Ethan Quinn in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 promises to be an engaging encounter on hard court. Jakub Mensik is favored to win with a probability of 60.33%, while Ethan Quinn has a 39.67% chance. The predicted total number of games played is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Jakub Mensik, currently ranked 18, boasts a form index of 50.27 and an Elo rating of 1439.30. He is fresh with zero cumulative fatigue and has a strong surface strength index of 15.55. His mean serve index of 97.35 significantly exceeds Ethan Quinn's 93.84 by over 3 points, indicating a notable advantage in serving capability. Additionally, Mensik's mean return index of 87.34 also surpasses Quinn's 85.58, albeit by a narrower margin, suggesting he may be better equipped to handle Quinn's service games. Ethan Quinn, ranked 86, has a form index of 50.77 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 813.94. Quinn has accumulated 98 minutes of fatigue during the tournament and has a lower surface strength index of 6.10. His recent performances show a mixed bag; he won his last match against Miomir Kecmanovic but faced defeat against Brandon Nakashima in the preceding round. Mensik, on the other hand, has struggled recently, losing two of his last three matches, but his overall ranking and serve strength provide a solid foundation for this confrontation.

Final Prediction

Jakub Mensik's overall higher rank, serve strength, and fresh condition give him a notable edge over Ethan Quinn. A critical factor to observe during the match will be how effectively Mensik can capitalize on his serving prowess, which could dictate the pace and outcome of the encounter.