Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinn Prediction

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #18
60%
VS

Ethan Quinn

Rank: #86
40%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

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Ranking Trends

Jakub Mensik

  • Current #18 2025-07-28
  • 3 mo ago #21 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #47 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #49 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #64 2024-08-12

Ethan Quinn

  • Current #86 2025-07-28
  • 3 mo ago #114 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #199 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #243 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #246 2024-08-12

Player Metrics

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 50.3
ELO Rating: 1439.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1628.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.5
Clay: 9.8
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 87.3

Ethan Quinn

Form Index: 50.8
ELO Rating: 813.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 98.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 3.5
Serve Rating: 93.8
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Jakub Mensik
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Ethan Quinn
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Jakub Mensik
vs
0
Ethan Quinn
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Jakub Mensik and Ethan Quinn in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 promises to be an engaging encounter on hard court. Jakub Mensik is favored to win with a probability of 60.33%, while Ethan Quinn has a 39.67% chance. The predicted total number of games played is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Jakub Mensik, currently ranked 18, boasts a form index of 50.27 and an Elo rating of 1439.30. He is fresh with zero cumulative fatigue and has a strong surface strength index of 15.55. His mean serve index of 97.35 significantly exceeds Ethan Quinn's 93.84 by over 3 points, indicating a notable advantage in serving capability. Additionally, Mensik's mean return index of 87.34 also surpasses Quinn's 85.58, albeit by a narrower margin, suggesting he may be better equipped to handle Quinn's service games. Ethan Quinn, ranked 86, has a form index of 50.77 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 813.94. Quinn has accumulated 98 minutes of fatigue during the tournament and has a lower surface strength index of 6.10. His recent performances show a mixed bag; he won his last match against Miomir Kecmanovic but faced defeat against Brandon Nakashima in the preceding round. Mensik, on the other hand, has struggled recently, losing two of his last three matches, but his overall ranking and serve strength provide a solid foundation for this confrontation.

Final Prediction

Jakub Mensik's overall higher rank, serve strength, and fresh condition give him a notable edge over Ethan Quinn. A critical factor to observe during the match will be how effectively Mensik can capitalize on his serving prowess, which could dictate the pace and outcome of the encounter.

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