Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 32

Jakub Mensik vs Fabian Marozsan Prediction

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #21
64%
VS

Fabian Marozsan

Rank: #61
36%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

Ranking Trends

Jakub Mensik

  • Current Rank: #21 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #47 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #49 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #64 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #65 (2024-05-06)

Fabian Marozsan

  • Current Rank: #61 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #57 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #59 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #49 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #36 (2024-05-06)

Player Metrics

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 55.0
ELO Rating: 1676.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1629.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 102.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.1
Clay: 10.4
Grass: 7.7
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 87.8

Fabian Marozsan

Form Index: 52.7
ELO Rating: 1372.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1619.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 229.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.6
Clay: 10.7
Grass: 8.5
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

Jakub Mensik
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Gigante (2-0) clay Rome 102 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (1-2) clay Madrid 131 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alexander Bublik (2-0) clay Madrid 56 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ben Shelton (2-0) clay Madrid 68 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ethan Quinn (2-0) clay Madrid 80 min

Fabian Marozsan
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Andrey Rublev (2-1) clay Rome 142 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Joao Fonseca (2-0) clay Rome 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (0-2) clay Madrid 115 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) clay Munich 91 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Zizou Bergs (2-0) clay Munich 99 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jakub Mensik
vs
0
Fabian Marozsan
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The highly anticipated match between Jakub Mensik and Fabian Marozsan takes place in the Round of 32 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, Italy, on clay surface. Based on statistical analysis, Jakub Mensik is predicted to emerge victorious with a win probability of 63.60%, while Fabian Marozsan holds a 36.40% chance of winning. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Jakub Mensik, currently ranked 21, boasts a form index of 55.05 and an Elo rating of 1676.03. His surface strength index is 10.40, complemented by a strong mean serve index of 97.72 and a solid mean return index of 87.79. In contrast, Fabian Marozsan, ranked 61, has a slightly lower form index of 52.74 and an Elo rating of 1372.78. Notably, Marozsan's surface strength index is marginally higher at 10.66, but his mean serve index of 95.72 and mean return index of 87.62 suggest he is at a slight disadvantage in serving capability. The difference in their mean serve index is greater than 5 points, which could play a crucial role in the match dynamics. Reviewing recent performances, Mensik has a mixed bag, winning 2 out of his last 3 matches, including a solid victory against Matteo Gigante in Rome. His only loss came against Francisco Cerundolo in Madrid. On the other hand, Marozsan has shown resilience, winning both of his last two matches in Rome, including a notable win against Andrey Rublev. However, he did suffer a loss to Flavio Cobolli in Madrid, indicating that he may still be finding his footing on the surface.

Final Prediction

Jakub Mensik's superior serving capabilities and recent success on clay give him a distinct edge going into this match. The key factor to watch will be how well Mensik can leverage his serve to dictate play and minimize Marozsan's opportunities to capitalize on his own strengths.