Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Jakub Mensik vs Luca Nardi Prediction

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #17
62%
VS

Luca Nardi

Rank: #98
38%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

Player Metrics

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 54.3
ELO Rating: 1440.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1637.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 72.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.5
Clay: 9.8
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 87.4

Luca Nardi

Form Index: 40.3
ELO Rating: 715.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1551.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 436.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.8
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 87.2

Recent Matches

Jakub Mensik

  • Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (2-0) hard Cincinnati 72 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) hard Toronto 76 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Tristan Boyer (2-0) hard Toronto 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Luca Nardi

  • Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (2-1) hard Cincinnati 148 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (2-0) hard Cincinnati 117 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Blockx (0-2) hard Cincinnati 83 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Aidan Mayo (2-0) hard Cincinnati 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Jakub Mensik
vs
0
Luca Nardi
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Jakub Mensik and Luca Nardi in the Round of 32 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 promises to be a compelling encounter on hard courts. Mensik is favored to win, with a probability of 62.22%, while Nardi has a 37.78% chance of victory. Analysts predict a total of 22 games will be played throughout the match.

Match Analysis

Jakub Mensik, currently ranked 17, boasts a solid form index of 54.28 and an Elo rating of 1440.39. His cumulative fatigue stands at 72 minutes, indicating he is relatively fresh for this round. Mensik’s surface strength index of 15.55, mean serve index of 97.37, and mean return index of 87.45 suggest he possesses both powerful serving capabilities and strong returning skills. In contrast, Luca Nardi, ranked 98, has a significantly lower form index of 40.28 and an Elo rating of 715.13. His fatigue level is considerably higher at 436 minutes, which may hinder his performance. Nardi's surface strength index is only 6.82, and while his mean serve index at 94.92 is competitive, Mensik’s serve index exceeds it by over 5 points, providing an edge in that department. Both players have had mixed results in their recent outings. Mensik's last three matches include a strong victory against Ethan Quinn, a loss to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, and a win against Tristan Boyer. Nardi, on the other hand, has secured wins against Denis Shapovalov and Thiago Agustin Tirante but suffered a loss to Alexander Blockx. Despite Nardi's recent victories, the cumulative fatigue and lower form index suggest he may struggle against a fresher and higher-ranked Mensik.

Final Prediction

Jakub Mensik appears to have the upper hand due to his higher ranking, fresher condition, and superior serve and return indices. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Mensik's serve, as it could dictate the pace of the match and put Nardi under pressure right from the start.