Almaty Kazakhstan Hard Atp 250 Semifinals

James Duckworth vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

James Duckworth

Rank: #103
22%
VS

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: #18
78%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Daniil Medvedev

Player Metrics

James Duckworth

Form Index: 58.4
ELO Rating: 681.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1578.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 484.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.9
Clay: 4.1
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 84.6

Daniil Medvedev

Form Index: 64.9
ELO Rating: 2986.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2074.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 170.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 29.0
Clay: 35.9
Grass: 41.0
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

James Duckworth

  • Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (2-0) hard Almaty 91 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-1) hard Almaty 150 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ugo Blanchet (2-0) hard Almaty 74 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mikhail Kukushkin (2-1) hard Almaty 129 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Saba Purtseladze (2-0) hard Almaty 40 min

Daniil Medvedev

  • Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) hard Almaty 66 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Adam Walton (2-0) hard Almaty 104 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (1-2) hard Shanghai 149 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (2-0) hard Shanghai 113 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Learner Tien (2-1) hard Shanghai 172 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
James Duckworth
vs
0
Daniil Medvedev
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the semifinals of the Almaty tournament held on hard courts in Kazakhstan, Daniil Medvedev is favored to win against James Duckworth. The predicted probability of Medvedev securing the victory stands at 78.31%, while Duckworth's chances are at 21.69%. The match is expected to see a total of approximately 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Daniil Medvedev, currently ranked 18th, holds a significant advantage over James Duckworth, who is ranked 103rd. Medvedev's form index of 64.88 suggests he is in better shape compared to Duckworth's form index of 58.42. The stark difference in Elo ratings further emphasizes this gap, with Medvedev at 2986.29 and Duckworth at 681.95. Fatigue levels are also noteworthy; Duckworth has accumulated 484 minutes on court during this tournament, compared to Medvedev’s 170 minutes, indicating that Duckworth may be more physically taxed. Medvedev's surface strength index of 29.04 underscores his proficiency on hard courts, while Duckworth's index of 5.89 is considerably lower. Examining recent performances, both players have shown competence in their last three matches. Duckworth has won all three matches, most recently defeating Flavio Cobolli convincingly without dropping a set. Medvedev has also been dominant, winning his last two matches with ease, including a straight-sets victory over Fabian Marozsan. However, Medvedev's ability to maintain a higher mean serve index of 95.26 compared to Duckworth's 97.57, and a superior mean return index of 87.56 against Duckworth's 84.63, emphasizes his overall effectiveness on both serve and return.

Final Prediction

Daniil Medvedev's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and lower fatigue levels provide him with a distinct edge over James Duckworth in this semifinal clash. A key factor to watch will be Medvedev's serving efficiency, as his ability to capitalize on his serve could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.