Almaty Kazakhstan Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Jan-Lennard Struff vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Jan-Lennard Struff

Rank: #98
44%
VS

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #38
56%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Corentin Moutet

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Ranking Trends

Jan-Lennard Struff

  • Current #98 2025-09-29
  • 3 mo ago #129 2025-07-14
  • 6 mo ago #51 2025-04-14
  • 9 mo ago #43 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #40 2024-10-14

Corentin Moutet

  • Current #38 2025-09-29
  • 3 mo ago #62 2025-07-14
  • 6 mo ago #76 2025-04-14
  • 9 mo ago #69 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #71 2024-10-14

Player Metrics

Jan-Lennard Struff

Form Index: 76.2
ELO Rating: 1298.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1659.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 224.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.9
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 85.4

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 49.8
ELO Rating: 1182.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1637.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 218.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.3
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.4
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 88.5

Recent Matches

Jan-Lennard Struff
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Corentin Moutet
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jan-Lennard Struff
vs
1
Corentin Moutet
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Corentin Moutet at the Almaty tournament in Kazakhstan is set to be a compelling encounter on hard courts. Moutet is predicted to win with a probability of 55.75%, while Struff has a 44.25% chance of success. The predicted total number of games played is 23.0, indicating a potentially competitive match.

Match Analysis

Jan-Lennard Struff, currently ranked 98, boasts a form index of 76.19 and an Elo rating of 1298.87. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 224 minutes, which may impact his performance. Struff's surface strength index is 10.95, while his mean serve index is notably high at 96.97, reflecting his powerful serve. However, his mean return index of 85.35 is slightly lower than Moutet's, suggesting a potential vulnerability in returning serve. On the other hand, Corentin Moutet, ranked 38, has a form index of 49.83 and an Elo rating of 1182.11, indicating he has been less consistent compared to Struff. Moutet's cumulative fatigue is slightly lower at 218 minutes. While he has a mean serve index of 94.87, his mean return index of 88.46 surpasses Struff's by over 3 points, suggesting he may have a slight advantage when facing Struff's serve. In their last three matches, Struff won two out of three, defeating Karen Khachanov and Mackenzie McDonald, while Moutet has also been successful in his last two matches against Alexander Shevchenko and Bernard Tomic.

Final Prediction

Corentin Moutet's slight edge in return capabilities and his more consistent recent performances position him favorably against Jan-Lennard Struff. A key factor to monitor will be Struff's ability to maintain his high serve index while handling Moutet's effective returns throughout the match.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel