Almaty Kazakhstan Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Jan-Lennard Struff vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Jan-Lennard Struff

Rank: #98
44%
VS

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #38
56%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Corentin Moutet

Ranking Trends

Jan-Lennard Struff

  • Current Rank: #98 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #129 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #51 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #43 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #40 (2024-10-14)

Corentin Moutet

  • Current Rank: #38 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #62 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #76 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #69 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #71 (2024-10-14)

Player Metrics

Jan-Lennard Struff

Form Index: 76.2
ELO Rating: 1298.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1659.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 224.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.9
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 85.4

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 49.8
ELO Rating: 1182.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1637.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 218.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.3
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.4
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 88.5

Recent Matches

Jan-Lennard Struff
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Karen Khachanov (2-1) hard Almaty 139 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Mackenzie McDonald (2-1) hard Almaty 85 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Frances Tiafoe (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Holger Rune (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min

Corentin Moutet
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alexander Shevchenko (2-0) hard Almaty 106 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Bernard Tomic (2-0) hard Almaty 112 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Learner Tien (1-2) hard Shanghai 156 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (1-2) hard Beijing 158 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-0) hard Beijing 109 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jan-Lennard Struff
vs
1
Corentin Moutet
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Corentin Moutet at the Almaty tournament in Kazakhstan is set to be a compelling encounter on hard courts. Moutet is predicted to win with a probability of 55.75%, while Struff has a 44.25% chance of success. The predicted total number of games played is 23.0, indicating a potentially competitive match.

Match Analysis

Jan-Lennard Struff, currently ranked 98, boasts a form index of 76.19 and an Elo rating of 1298.87. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 224 minutes, which may impact his performance. Struff's surface strength index is 10.95, while his mean serve index is notably high at 96.97, reflecting his powerful serve. However, his mean return index of 85.35 is slightly lower than Moutet's, suggesting a potential vulnerability in returning serve. On the other hand, Corentin Moutet, ranked 38, has a form index of 49.83 and an Elo rating of 1182.11, indicating he has been less consistent compared to Struff. Moutet's cumulative fatigue is slightly lower at 218 minutes. While he has a mean serve index of 94.87, his mean return index of 88.46 surpasses Struff's by over 3 points, suggesting he may have a slight advantage when facing Struff's serve. In their last three matches, Struff won two out of three, defeating Karen Khachanov and Mackenzie McDonald, while Moutet has also been successful in his last two matches against Alexander Shevchenko and Bernard Tomic.

Final Prediction

Corentin Moutet's slight edge in return capabilities and his more consistent recent performances position him favorably against Jan-Lennard Struff. A key factor to monitor will be Struff's ability to maintain his high serve index while handling Moutet's effective returns throughout the match.