Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Jan-Lennard Struff vs Holger Rune Prediction

Jan-Lennard Struff

Rank: #145
21%
VS

Holger Rune

Rank: #11
79%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Holger Rune

Player Metrics

Jan-Lennard Struff

Form Index: 84.1
ELO Rating: 1056.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1637.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.1
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 85.1

Holger Rune

Form Index: 67.1
ELO Rating: 2050.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1825.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.8
Clay: 20.6
Grass: 21.9
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 84.9

Recent Matches

Jan-Lennard Struff

  • Last Match: vs Mackenzie McDonald (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Taro Daniel (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Clement Chidekh (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (1-2) hard Cincinnati 135 min

Holger Rune

  • Last Match: vs Botic van de Zandschulp (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (0-2) hard Cincinnati 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (2-0) hard Cincinnati 72 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) hard Cincinnati 93 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Roman Safiullin (2-0) hard Cincinnati 118 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Jan-Lennard Struff
vs
0
Holger Rune
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the 2025 US Open, Jan-Lennard Struff faces off against Holger Rune on hard court in New York. The predicted winner is Holger Rune, with a probability of 79.50% to Struff's 20.50%. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 36 games.

Match Analysis

Jan-Lennard Struff, currently ranked 145, has a form index of 84.15 and an Elo rating of 1,056.84. His cumulative fatigue stands at 696 minutes, indicating he has spent considerable time on court in this tournament. Struff's surface strength index is 9.05, suggesting a limited effectiveness on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 97.14 indicates he possesses a decent serve. His mean return index of 85.13 is also respectable, though not excessively dominant. In contrast, Holger Rune is positioned much higher at rank 11, with a form index of 67.12 and an Elo rating of 2,050.36. Rune has shown lower cumulative fatigue at 174 minutes, indicating he has managed his physical exertion well. His surface strength index stands at 16.82, and while his mean serve index is slightly lower at 95.49, his mean return index of 84.94 suggests he is adept at capitalizing on opponents' serves. Notably, the difference in their mean serve indices exceeds 5 points, which could be a critical factor in the match. Looking at their recent performances, Struff has shown strong form, winning all three of his last matches convincingly. In contrast, Rune's last match was a solid win, but he suffered a defeat in Cincinnati just prior, indicating some inconsistency.

Final Prediction

Holger Rune holds a significant advantage in terms of overall ranking and lower fatigue levels, which may enhance his performance. A key factor to monitor will be Rune's ability to leverage his serve effectively against Struff's returning capabilities, as this could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.