Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Quarterfinals

Jannik Sinner vs Ben Shelton Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #1
72%
VS

Ben Shelton

Rank: #10
28%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 91.2
ELO Rating: 11447.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2155.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 100.0
Clay: 97.8
Grass: 98.9
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 88.9

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 83.2
ELO Rating: 1650.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1714.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 15.9
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 84.0

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner

  • Last Match: vs Grigor Dimitrov (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (1-2) grass Halle 122 min

Ben Shelton

  • Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex Bolt (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Learner Tien (0-2) grass Mallorca 100 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

4
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Ben Shelton
Hard
3 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of Wimbledon 2025, Jannik Sinner, ranked 1, faces Ben Shelton, ranked 10, on the grass courts of Great Britain. With a strong probability of winning at 72.50%, Sinner is expected to prevail over Shelton, who holds a 27.50% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 37.0.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner's exceptional form index of 91.22 and an Elo rating of 11447.28 highlight his dominance on the ATP tour, especially on grass. His surface strength index stands at an impressive 98.92, indicating his proficiency on this surface. In contrast, Ben Shelton, while a formidable opponent with a rank of 10, has a lower form index of 83.21 and a significantly reduced surface strength index of just 15.87. The cumulative fatigue for both players is 696 minutes, but Sinner's superior stats suggest he can handle the physical demands of the match better. Notably, Sinner's mean serve index of 97.70 outpaces Shelton's 96.50, although the difference in mean return indices is less than 5 points, reflecting a relatively even exchange in return game capabilities. In their recent performances, Sinner's last three matches showcased his ability to dominate, with his most recent loss to Grigor Dimitrov being an outlier. He won decisively against Pedro Martinez and Aleksandar Vukic in straight sets. Conversely, Shelton has been on a winning streak, defeating Lorenzo Sonego, Marton Fucsovics, and Rinky Hijikata, with his last match being the only one where he dropped a set. This shows that while Shelton is in good form, Sinner's overall performance indicates a higher level of consistency and resilience.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's edge lies in his higher rank, superior statistics, and recent performances, making him a strong favorite in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be his serve, as Sinner's powerful serve could set the tone early in the match and put Shelton under significant pressure.