Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Jannik Sinner vs Luca Nardi Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #1
86%
VS

Luca Nardi

Rank: #95
14%
Expected Total Games: 34.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Ranking Trends

Jannik Sinner

  • Current #1 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #1 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #1 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #1 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #1 2024-07-01

Luca Nardi

  • Current #95 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #93 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #92 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #89 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #75 2024-07-01

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 65.7
ELO Rating: 11447.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2153.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 100.0
Clay: 97.8
Grass: 98.9
Serve Rating: 97.9
Return Rating: 88.9

Luca Nardi

Form Index: 18.9
ELO Rating: 700.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1537.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.4
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Luca Nardi
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Billy Harris (0-2) grass Eastbourne 81 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) clay Rome 117 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (2-0) clay Rome 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Hugo Gaston (0-2) clay Madrid 80 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Luca Nardi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, Jannik Sinner is set to face Luca Nardi on the grass courts of Great Britain. With Sinner currently ranked 1 in the world and boasting an impressive form index, he is favored to win with a probability of 85.60%, while Nardi holds a considerably lower chance of 14.40%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 34.0.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner's current ranking of 1 and a form index of 65.72 highlight his dominance in the game, especially on grass where his surface strength index is a remarkable 98.92. In contrast, Luca Nardi ranks 95 and has a significantly lower form index of 18.91, coupled with a surface strength index of only 5.57. The disparity in their mean serve indices, 97.88 for Sinner versus 94.88 for Nardi, is notable and suggests that Sinner's serving capabilities will provide him with a crucial advantage. Additionally, Sinner’s mean return index of 88.89, which is greater than Nardi's 87.27, further emphasizes his proficiency in returning serves. Examining their recent performances, Sinner has had mixed results, notably losing his last match against Alexander Bublik after winning against Yannick Hanfmann. This inconsistency, however, is overshadowed by his previous success and high competitive standards. On the other hand, Nardi has struggled recently, losing all his last three matches, including a disappointing performance at Eastbourne where he was unable to win a set against Billy Harris.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's combination of superior ranking, form, and performance metrics establishes him as the clear favorite in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Sinner's serve, as his high mean serve index could set the tone for the match and potentially overwhelm Nardi, making it challenging for him to find his rhythm.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel