Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Jannik Sinner vs Richard Gasquet Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #1
90%
VS

Richard Gasquet

Rank: #160
10%
Predicted Games Played: 32.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 73.7
ELO Rating: 11702.0
Glicko2 Rating: 2153.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 100.0
Clay: 98.9
Grass: 100.0
Serve Rating: 98.1
Return Rating: 88.9

Richard Gasquet

Form Index: 55.6
ELO Rating: 560.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1571.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.2
Clay: 5.4
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.0

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner

  • Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) clay Rome 103 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (2-1) clay Rome 103 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (1-0) clay Rome 64 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-0) clay Rome 137 min

Richard Gasquet

  • Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (1-2) clay Monte Carlo 156 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-1) clay Monte Carlo 154 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (1-2) clay Bucharest 115 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Botic van de Zandschulp (2-1) clay Bucharest 139 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Richard Gasquet
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Jannik Sinner and Richard Gasquet at Roland Garros marks a significant Round of 64 encounter on the clay surface. With Sinner ranked first in the world and boasting an impressive 89.62% probability of winning, the match appears heavily in his favor. Gasquet, currently ranked 160, has a win probability of just 10.38%, with a predicted total of 32 games played in this contest.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner's rank at 1 and a form index of 73.75 indicates his current dominance in the sport. His Elo rating of 11,702 further solidifies his status as a top competitor. While both players share a cumulative fatigue of 174 minutes from the ongoing tournament, the contrast in their performance metrics is stark. Sinner's surface strength index of 98.89 greatly outmatches Gasquet's meager 5.42, emphasizing his capability on clay. Furthermore, Sinner's mean serve index of 98.14 exceeds Gasquet's 95.46, suggesting a significant advantage in serve quality. In terms of returns, Sinner's index of 88.93 also surpasses Gasquet's 85.05, reinforcing his overall superiority. In their recent performances, Sinner has shown mixed results, winning decisively against Arthur Rinderknech but suffering a loss to Carlos Alcaraz. He defeated Tommy Paul in a prior match, indicating resilience. Conversely, Gasquet's recent form has been more favorable, winning against Terence Atmane but also losing to Daniel Altmaier. His victory against Matteo Arnaldi shows he can still compete at a reasonable level, but overall, his recent results reflect inconsistency.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's overwhelming statistics and recent performance renders him the clear favorite for this matchup against Richard Gasquet. His superior serving and returning capabilities, coupled with a significant edge in surface strength, position him well for a commanding victory. One key factor to watch will be Sinner’s ability to maintain his aggressive play style while managing fatigue, as each point on clay can be physically demanding.