Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Jenson Brooksby vs Arthur Cazaux Prediction

Jenson Brooksby

Rank: #102
49%
VS

Arthur Cazaux

Rank: #75
51%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Arthur Cazaux

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Player Metrics

Jenson Brooksby

Form Index: 38.1
ELO Rating: 993.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1582.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 159.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.2
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 4.1
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 88.4

Arthur Cazaux

Form Index: 50.9
ELO Rating: 856.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1579.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 231.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.5
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 86.3

Recent Matches

Jenson Brooksby

Arthur Cazaux

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jenson Brooksby
vs
0
Arthur Cazaux
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The first round of the Cincinnati Masters 1000 will feature a match-up between Jenson Brooksby and Arthur Cazaux on hard courts in Ohio. With a closely contested probability of winning at 49.06% for Brooksby and 50.94% for Cazaux, the prediction leans slightly towards Cazaux as the likely winner. The anticipated total number of games played is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Jenson Brooksby, currently ranked 102, has a form index of 38.11 and an Elo rating of 993.41. His fatigue level stands at 159 minutes, indicating a moderate workload in the tournament. Brooksby has a surface strength index of 2.18, showing some capability on hard courts, and a mean serve index of 95.70. His return game, however, is stronger at 88.42. In contrast, Arthur Cazaux ranks higher at 75 with a form index of 50.86 and a lower Elo rating of 856.33. Cazaux's fatigue is higher at 231 minutes, which may impact his performance. His surface strength index significantly surpasses Brooksby’s at 7.50, along with a comparable mean serve index of 95.76, but a lower return index of 86.29. The slight difference in serve index indicates a tight contest in service games. In their recent performances, Brooksby has faced challenges, winning only one out of his last three matches, most recently defeating Alexandre Muller after two prior losses. Meanwhile, Cazaux's last match resulted in a loss to Thiago Agustin Tirante, but he had a positive performance against Mark Lajal prior to that, showcasing mixed results in Cincinnati.

Final Prediction

Arthur Cazaux's slightly superior form index and surface strength index give him an edge in this matchup despite his higher fatigue level. A key factor to monitor will be how each player's performance on serve influences the match, particularly given the tight statistics surrounding their serving capabilities.

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