London Great Britain Grass Atp 500 Quarterfinals

Jiri Lehecka vs Jacob Fearnley Prediction

Jiri Lehecka

Rank: #30
67%
VS

Jacob Fearnley

Rank: #60
33%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jiri Lehecka

Player Metrics

Jiri Lehecka

Form Index: 65.2
ELO Rating: 1978.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1690.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 140.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.7
Clay: 15.3
Grass: 17.2
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 84.7

Jacob Fearnley

Form Index: 55.8
ELO Rating: 950.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1554.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 128.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.6
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 6.0
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Jiri Lehecka

  • Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) grass London 64 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (2-0) grass London 76 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-2) grass Stuttgart 60 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-0) grass Stuttgart 86 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-0) grass Stuttgart 75 min

Jacob Fearnley

  • Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (2-1) grass London 128 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (1-2) grass Stuttgart 113 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (1-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Stan Wawrinka (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jiri Lehecka
vs
0
Jacob Fearnley
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match in London between Jiri Lehecka and Jacob Fearnley promises to be an intriguing contest on grass. With Lehecka ranked 30th and showing a strong probability of winning at 66.72% against Fearnley’s 33.28%, the predicted total number of games played is set at 22.0.

Match Analysis

Jiri Lehecka enters the match with a solid form index of 65.15 and an Elo rating of 1978.50, reflecting his competitive edge on the ATP circuit. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 140 minutes, which is manageable considering his recent performances. Lehecka boasts a surface strength index of 17.22, significantly higher than Fearnley's 5.96, indicating his better adaptation to grass courts. Notably, Lehecka's mean serve index of 97.63 exceeds Fearnley's by more than 5 points, enhancing his service game advantage, while both players have similar mean return indices, with Lehecka slightly trailing at 84.75 compared to Fearnley’s 88.71. Jacob Fearnley, ranked 60th, shows a form index of 55.78 and an Elo rating of 950.45, indicating a considerable gap in both ranking and performance metrics. His fatigue level is slightly less at 128 minutes, but this has not translated into consistent results. Fearnley has shown resilience by winning his last match against Corentin Moutet after a tough 128-minute battle, but prior losses against higher-ranked opponents like Brandon Nakashima and Cameron Norrie reveal challenges in maintaining competitiveness.

Final Prediction

Jiri Lehecka's superior rankings, form, and performance metrics give him a clear edge in this matchup. A critical factor to monitor will be Lehecka's service game, where his ability to dominate with a higher serve index could determine the pace and outcome of the match.