Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Mackenzie McDonald vs Jiri Lehecka Prediction

Mackenzie McDonald

Rank: #95
25%
VS

Jiri Lehecka

Rank: #25
75%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Jiri Lehecka

Ranking Trends

Mackenzie McDonald

  • Current Rank: #95 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #97 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #125 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #118 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #93 (2024-07-29)

Jiri Lehecka

  • Current Rank: #25 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #27 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #24 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #30 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #30 (2024-07-29)

Player Metrics

Mackenzie McDonald

Form Index: 42.1
ELO Rating: 510.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1605.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 85.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 85.7

Jiri Lehecka

Form Index: 51.3
ELO Rating: 1945.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1694.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.6
Clay: 15.3
Grass: 17.1
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 84.8

Recent Matches

Mackenzie McDonald
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs David Goffin (2-0) hard Toronto 85 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Washington 75 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Colton Smith (2-0) hard Washington 65 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Karen Khachanov (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs George Loffhagen (0-2) grass Eastbourne 94 min

Jiri Lehecka
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (1-2) hard Washington 165 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Zachary Svajda (2-1) hard Washington 124 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Mattia Bellucci (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Hugo Dellien (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-2) grass London 128 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Mackenzie McDonald
vs
0
Jiri Lehecka
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Jiri Lehecka is set to face Mackenzie McDonald on hard courts. With a high probability of winning at 75.47%, Lehecka is favored over McDonald, who has a win probability of 24.53%. The predicted total number of games played in this matchup is approximately 23.

Match Analysis

Jiri Lehecka, currently ranked 25, boasts a form index of 51.30 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 1945.92 compared to McDonald's rank of 95 and Elo rating of 510.36. Lehecka has a fatigue level of 0, indicating he is fresh for this match, while McDonald has accumulated 85 minutes of fatigue. On surface strength, Lehecka has a clear advantage with a surface strength index of 17.64 compared to McDonald's 6.13, which may enhance his performance on hard courts. Additionally, both players have similar mean serve indices, but Lehecka's mean return index is slightly lower than McDonald’s, with a difference of only 1.25 points, which may not play a significant role in the outcome. In their recent performances, McDonald has shown mixed results, winning two of his last three matches, with a strong victory against David Goffin in the first round of this tournament. However, he lost to Ben Shelton in a prior match, highlighting some inconsistency. Conversely, Lehecka's recent form has been less favorable, losing his last match against Alex de Minaur after a tough battle, although he did secure a solid win against Zachary Svajda in the earlier round of the Washington tournament.

Final Prediction

Jiri Lehecka's superior ranking, fresh state, and higher surface strength index provide him with a significant edge over Mackenzie McDonald. A key factor to monitor during this match will be Lehecka's ability to capitalize on McDonald's fatigue and maintain pressure with his returning game, which could be pivotal in determining the flow of points.