Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Joao Fonseca vs Miomir Kecmanovic Prediction

Joao Fonseca

Rank: #52
48%
VS

Miomir Kecmanovic

Rank: #49
52%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Miomir Kecmanovic

Player Metrics

Joao Fonseca

Form Index: 48.0
ELO Rating: 1098.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1638.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.6
Clay: 9.1
Grass: 5.0
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 86.2

Miomir Kecmanovic

Form Index: 45.5
ELO Rating: 1032.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1593.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.7
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.5
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.8

Recent Matches

Joao Fonseca

  • Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (0-2) hard Cincinnati 78 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (1-1) hard Cincinnati 98 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-1) hard Cincinnati 139 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tristan Schoolkate (0-2) hard Toronto 92 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Nicolas Jarry (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Miomir Kecmanovic

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (0-2) hard Winston Salem 68 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) hard Winston Salem 58 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-0) hard Winston Salem 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (0-2) hard Cincinnati 98 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (1-2) hard Toronto 127 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Joao Fonseca
vs
0
Miomir Kecmanovic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The 2025 US Open in New York features an intriguing first-round match between Joao Fonseca and Miomir Kecmanovic on hard courts. The prediction leans slightly towards Kecmanovic, with a win probability of 51.73% compared to Fonseca's 48.27%. The anticipated total number of games played in this contest is 38.

Match Analysis

Joao Fonseca currently holds a ranking of 52, slightly behind Kecmanovic at 49. Both players have similar form indices, with Fonseca at 48.05 and Kecmanovic at 45.54, indicating a relatively even playing field. However, Fonseca's Elo rating of 1098.27 surpasses Kecmanovic's 1032.62, suggesting that he may have faced tougher competition recently. Neither player shows signs of fatigue, as both have accumulated 0 minutes of court time in the current tournament. Fonseca has a surface strength index of 7.65, while Kecmanovic has a notable advantage at 9.72, which could play a crucial role on hard courts. Additionally, Kecmanovic's mean serve index is 95.52, closely trailing Fonseca's 95.98, while his mean return index of 86.84 exceeds Fonseca's 86.17, indicating a stronger return game. In their last three matches, Fonseca's performance has been mixed, with only one win against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, while losing to Terence Atmane and Yunchaokete Bu. Conversely, Kecmanovic has shown more consistency, winning two out of three matches at Winston-Salem, including a decisive victory against Luciano Darderi, though he did lose his latest match against Sebastian Korda.

Final Prediction

Miomir Kecmanovic's slight edge in surface strength and superior recent performance provides him with a favorable advantage heading into this match. A key factor to monitor will be Kecmanovic's return game, as his ability to effectively counter Fonseca's serve could determine the outcome of this closely contested matchup.