Gstaad Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Finals

Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Rank: #112
35%
VS

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #31
65%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

Player Metrics

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Form Index: 62.8
ELO Rating: 906.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 396.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.7
Clay: 8.4
Grass: 3.6
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 89.7

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 61.0
ELO Rating: 1726.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1699.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 132.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.2

Recent Matches

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

  • Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (2-1) clay Gstaad 129 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs David Goffin (2-1) clay Gstaad 127 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-1) clay Gstaad 140 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (0-2) grass London 70 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Hamad Medjedovic (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Alexander Bublik

  • Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (2-0) clay Gstaad 71 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (2-0) clay Gstaad 61 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (2-0) grass Halle 81 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (2-1) grass Halle 122 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
vs
0
Alexander Bublik
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The final match at the Gstaad tournament in Switzerland will see Juan Manuel Cerundolo face off against Alexander Bublik on clay. With a predicted winner of Alexander Bublik, he holds a 65.01% probability of winning compared to Cerundolo's 34.99%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Juan Manuel Cerundolo is currently ranked 112th, with a form index of 62.81 and an Elo rating of 906.65. He has accumulated significant fatigue with 396 minutes on court during the tournament and a surface strength index of 8.38. His mean serve index stands at 96.05, while his mean return index is 89.69. In contrast, Alexander Bublik holds a much higher rank at 31, with a form index of 60.99 and an Elo rating of 1726.30. His cumulative fatigue is considerably lower at 132 minutes, and he possesses a surface strength index of 14.29, indicating a better adaptation to the clay surface. Bublik's mean serve index is slightly less at 95.51, but his mean return index is 86.23, revealing a smaller gap in serving capabilities. Both players have shown strong performances in their recent matches. Cerundolo has triumphed in his last three matches, including notable victories over Casper Ruud and David Goffin, demonstrating his resilience and ability to compete at a high level on clay. Meanwhile, Bublik has also been impressive, winning his last three matches, with particularly swift victories against Francisco Comesana and Alexander Shevchenko, showcasing his efficiency and momentum going into the final.

Final Prediction

Alexander Bublik's higher ranking, Elo rating, and lower fatigue levels provide him with a distinct advantage in this final. His ability to maintain a strong surface strength index further enhances his prospects on clay. A key factor to watch will be Bublik's serving performance, as even slight advantages in service can heavily influence the match outcome.