Paris
France
Hard
Masters 1000
Round of 32
Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca Prediction
Karen Khachanov
Rank: #14
46%
VS
Joao Fonseca
Rank: #28
54%
Predicted Games Played:
23.0
Predicted Winner:
Joao Fonseca
Ranking Trends
Karen Khachanov
- Current Rank: #14 (2025-10-27)
- 3 Months Ago: #16 (2025-07-28)
- 6 Months Ago: #25 (2025-04-21)
- 9 Months Ago: #20 (2025-01-27)
- 12 Months Ago: #21 (2024-10-28)
Joao Fonseca
- Current Rank: #28 (2025-10-27)
- 3 Months Ago: #49 (2025-07-28)
- 6 Months Ago: #65 (2025-04-21)
- 9 Months Ago: #99 (2025-01-27)
- 12 Months Ago: #151 (2024-10-28)
Player Metrics
Karen Khachanov
Form Index:
15.9
ELO Rating:
1618.0
Glicko2 Rating:
1736.5
Current Fatigue (minutes):
0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
13.2
Clay:
18.8
Grass:
16.6
Serve Rating:
96.8
Return Rating:
85.7
Joao Fonseca
Form Index:
64.8
ELO Rating:
1161.7
Glicko2 Rating:
1654.6
Current Fatigue (minutes):
124.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
9.4
Clay:
9.1
Grass:
5.2
Serve Rating:
94.6
Return Rating:
86.4
Recent Matches
Karen Khachanov
- Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (1-2) hard Vienna 123 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (1-2) hard Almaty 139 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Juncheng Shang (0-2) hard Shanghai 101 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (1-2) hard Beijing 168 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Kamil Majchrzak (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min
Joao Fonseca
- Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (2-1) hard Paris 124 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-0) hard Basel 85 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-0) hard Basel 114 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (2-1) hard Basel 96 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Botic van de Zandschulp (0-2) hard Brussels 122 min
Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)
0
Karen Khachanov
vs
0
Joao Fonseca
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between Karen Khachanov and Joao Fonseca is set to take place in the Round of 32 at the prestigious Masters 1000 tournament in Paris, France, played on hard courts. Joao Fonseca is slightly favored to win with a probability of 53.63%, while Karen Khachanov has a 46.37% chance of securing victory. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 23.
Match Analysis
Karen Khachanov, currently ranked 14th, comes into the match with a form index of 15.90 and an Elo rating of approximately 1618. His performance metrics indicate a relatively strong mean serve index of 96.81, which is notably higher than Fonseca's 94.57. However, his mean return index of 85.74 is slightly lower than Fonseca's 86.42, indicating that while his serve is a strength, his return game may not be as effective. Khachanov's fatigue level stands at 0, which suggests he has not spent significant time on court in the current tournament.
On the other hand, Joao Fonseca, ranked 28th, boasts a significantly higher form index of 64.75, reflecting his recent success, including a victory over Denis Shapovalov in his last match. Fonseca's Elo rating is 1162, indicating a gap in overall experience and competitive exposure compared to Khachanov. Despite carrying a cumulative fatigue of 124 minutes, his recent form, including two consecutive match wins in Basel prior to the current tournament, demonstrates his capability to perform under pressure.
Final Prediction
Joao Fonseca's recent form and success on the hard courts provide him with a slight edge heading into this match. His higher form index and recent victories against higher-ranked opponents underscore his competitive momentum. It will be crucial to observe how Khachanov manages his serve against Fonseca's return game, as this could significantly influence the match outcome.