Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Karen Khachanov vs Kamil Majchrzak Prediction

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #9
66%
VS

Kamil Majchrzak

Rank: #78
34%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Karen Khachanov

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Ranking Trends

Karen Khachanov

  • Current #9 2025-08-18
  • 3 mo ago #24 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #24 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #19 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #22 2024-08-26

Kamil Majchrzak

  • Current #78 2025-08-18
  • 3 mo ago #96 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #118 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #120 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #167 2024-08-26

Player Metrics

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 66.4
ELO Rating: 2018.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1767.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.2
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 16.6
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 85.7

Kamil Majchrzak

Form Index: 63.8
ELO Rating: 826.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1615.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.7
Clay: 4.8
Grass: 6.2
Serve Rating: 94.1
Return Rating: 86.3

Recent Matches

Karen Khachanov
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

Kamil Majchrzak
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Karen Khachanov
vs
0
Kamil Majchrzak
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the US Open, held on hard courts in New York, Karen Khachanov is set to face Kamil Majchrzak. The match promises to be competitive, with Khachanov predicted to emerge victorious, holding a winning probability of 66.45% compared to Majchrzak's 33.55%. The expected total number of games played is estimated at 37.

Match Analysis

Karen Khachanov, currently ranked 9th, has a solid form index of 66.45 and an Elo rating of 2018.68, demonstrating his consistent performance. Although he has accumulated 174 minutes of fatigue in the tournament thus far, his surface strength index of 16.16 and a mean serve index of 96.78 indicate his proficiency on hard courts. On the other hand, Kamil Majchrzak, ranked 78th, has a slightly lower form index of 63.78 and an Elo rating of 826.17, suggesting he has faced more challenges. His surface strength index is notably lower at 5.66, though his mean serve index of 94.14 shows he can hold his own in serving. Both players have experienced ups and downs in their recent matches. Khachanov's last three matches include a victory over Nishesh Basavareddy in the US Open and a loss to Alexander Zverev in Cincinnati, with a prior win against Jenson Brooksby. Meanwhile, Majchrzak has won his last encounter against Hugo Dellien but was defeated by Sebastian Korda in Winston-Salem. Both players have shown resilience in their performances, but Khachanov’s recent form and higher ranking could provide him an advantage.

Final Prediction

Khachanov's edge can be attributed to his higher ranking, superior serve index, and recent match experience, which positions him favorably in this matchup. A key factor to observe will be how well Khachanov manages his fatigue, as it could impact his performance against the determined Majchrzak.

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