Geneva Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Karen Khachanov vs Kei Nishikori Prediction

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #24
65%
VS

Kei Nishikori

Rank: #62
35%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Karen Khachanov

Player Metrics

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 48.7
ELO Rating: 2051.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1746.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.6
Clay: 19.8
Grass: 18.3
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 85.3

Kei Nishikori

Form Index: 47.1
ELO Rating: 909.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1537.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 126.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 6.4
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

Karen Khachanov

  • Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-2) clay Rome 148 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Francesco Passaro (2-0) clay Rome 61 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Roman Andres Burruchaga (2-1) clay Rome 160 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (1-2) clay Madrid 103 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) clay Madrid 106 min

Kei Nishikori

  • Last Match: vs Learner Tien (2-1) clay Geneva 126 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (0-2) clay Madrid 64 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-1) clay Madrid 119 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Christopher Eubanks (0-1) clay Houston 24 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Mitchell Krueger (2-0) clay Houston 74 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Karen Khachanov
vs
1
Kei Nishikori
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match between Karen Khachanov and Kei Nishikori at the Geneva tournament promises to be an intriguing battle on clay. With Khachanov ranked 24th and Nishikori at 62nd, the matchup reflects a significant disparity in their current forms and surface strengths. The predicted winner is Karen Khachanov, with a 65.49% probability of victory compared to Kei Nishikori's 34.51%. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 24 games.

Match Analysis

Karen Khachanov enters the match with a higher rank (24) and a form index of 48.65, compared to Nishikori's rank of 62 and form index of 47.14. Khachanov's Elo rating stands at 2051, significantly higher than Nishikori's 909. This suggests a notable gap in their current performance levels. In terms of fatigue, Khachanov has managed to stay fresh with 0 minutes on court in the current tournament, while Nishikori has accumulated 126 minutes, which could impact his stamina as the match progresses. On clay, Khachanov's surface strength index of 19.78 also surpasses Nishikori’s 6.56, further highlighting Khachanov's advantage on this surface. Additionally, Khachanov has a mean serve index of 97.03, while Nishikori's is 95.99, a difference of over 5 points that could play a critical role in determining the outcome. In their recent performances, Khachanov has shown resilience, winning 2 out of his last 3 matches, despite a tough encounter against Carlos Alcaraz. Nishikori, on the other hand, has also secured 2 wins, but his last match in Geneva was against Learner Tien, which he won in a closely contested battle. Prior to that, he faced a setback against Denis Shapovalov in Madrid, which could affect his confidence heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Karen Khachanov's superior ranking, better form, and significant advantages in both serve and surface strength position him as the favorite to win this match. A key factor to watch will be how Nishikori manages his fatigue and whether he can leverage his experience to challenge Khachanov's serve effectively.