S Hertogenbosch Netherlands Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Mackenzie McDonald vs Karen Khachanov Prediction

Mackenzie McDonald

Rank: #99
27%
VS

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #24
73%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Karen Khachanov

Player Metrics

Mackenzie McDonald

Form Index: 44.4
ELO Rating: 462.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1604.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 320.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.6
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 4.5
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 86.5

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 64.6
ELO Rating: 1935.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1743.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.6
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 18.5
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 85.4

Recent Matches

Mackenzie McDonald

  • Last Match: vs Mattia Bellucci (2-1) grass S Hertogenbosch 161 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Thijs Boogaard (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ryan Peniston (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 77 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jerome Kym (2-0) clay Madrid 61 min

Karen Khachanov

  • Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (1-2) clay Geneva 116 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Kei Nishikori (1-1) clay Geneva 84 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Mackenzie McDonald
vs
0
Karen Khachanov
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the s-Hertogenbosch tournament in the Netherlands will see Mackenzie McDonald take on Karen Khachanov on grass. With Khachanov favored to win, he holds a probability of 73.31%, while McDonald stands at 26.69%. The predicted total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Mackenzie McDonald currently ranks 99th, with a form index of 44.38 and an Elo rating of 462.65, indicating a struggle to find consistent form. His fatigue level stands at 320 minutes, reflecting a demanding tournament so far. On the surface strength index, McDonald has a score of 4.50, which suggests he is still acclimatizing to the grass. His mean serve index of 96.14 is competitive, but his return index of 86.54 is slightly lower than Khachanov's. In contrast, Karen Khachanov is ranked 24th, showcasing a much stronger form index of 64.58 and a robust Elo rating of 1935.61. He has zero fatigue, having not played any matches in this tournament prior to this round, giving him an advantage in terms of physical readiness. Khachanov's surface strength index is significantly higher at 18.51, and while his mean serve index of 95.39 is close to McDonald's, his return index of 85.44 is slightly lower, but both players are closely matched in this area. Over their last three matches, McDonald has shown resilience, winning two of his encounters in straight sets, while Khachanov's recent performances have been mixed, with one win and two losses at Roland Garros, including a tough five-set match against Tommy Paul.

Final Prediction

Khachanov's higher ranking, better form index, and lack of fatigue provide him with a significant edge heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be how McDonald manages his fatigue and if he can capitalize on any weaknesses in Khachanov's return game.