Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

Learner Tien

Rank: #67
36%
VS

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #10
64%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

Player Metrics

Learner Tien

Form Index: 54.1
ELO Rating: 992.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1564.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 75.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.5
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 88.9

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 61.6
ELO Rating: 2065.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1884.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.3
Clay: 22.0
Grass: 27.1
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 87.4

Recent Matches

Learner Tien

  • Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (2-0) hard Washington 75 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Nicolas Jarry (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nishesh Basavareddy (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) grass Mallorca 109 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (2-0) grass Mallorca 100 min

Andrey Rublev

  • Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (1-2) hard Los Cabos 148 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (2-1) hard Los Cabos 138 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alex Hernandez (2-0) hard Los Cabos 74 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Learner Tien
vs
0
Andrey Rublev
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Learner Tien and Andrey Rublev in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament is set to be an intriguing contest on hard courts. With a competitive edge in ranking and recent form, Andrey Rublev is predicted to emerge victorious with a win probability of 63.57% against Learner Tien's 36.43%. The anticipated total number of games played is projected to be around 23.

Match Analysis

Andrey Rublev, currently ranked 10th, holds a significant advantage in terms of experience and performance metrics. He boasts an Elo rating of 2065 and a form index of 61.55, compared to Tien’s rank of 67 and Elo rating of 992. With a fatigue level of 0, Rublev is fresh heading into this match, while Tien has a cumulative fatigue of 75 minutes from his previous matches. Rublev's surface strength index stands at 16.33, indicating a strong proficiency on hard courts, particularly in this tournament setting. When it comes to serving, the difference in the mean serve index is marginal, with Rublev at 96.38 and Tien at 96.11. However, Rublev's mean return index of 87.42 is notably higher than Tien's 88.87, indicating that Tien's returning capabilities are slightly better, which could be an opportunity for him to capitalize on Rublev's service games. In their last three matches, Tien has demonstrated mixed results, winning two out of three, but his recent match against Emilio Nava showcased his potential. Conversely, Rublev has faced struggles recently, losing to Aleksandar Kovacevic in his last outing but securing two previous victories.

Final Prediction

Rublev's higher ranking and experience, combined with his lack of fatigue, give him a considerable advantage heading into the match against Tien. A key factor to watch will be Tien's ability to leverage his strong return game to challenge Rublev's serve and keep the contest competitive.