Mallorca Spain Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Ben Shelton vs Learner Tien Prediction

Ben Shelton

Rank: #10
63%
VS

Learner Tien

Rank: #67
37%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Ben Shelton

Player Metrics

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 39.4
ELO Rating: 1724.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1709.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 16.6
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 83.9

Learner Tien

Form Index: 35.1
ELO Rating: 930.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1547.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 74.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.5
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 4.9
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 89.2

Recent Matches

Ben Shelton

  • Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (0-2) grass London 108 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) grass Stuttgart 121 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (2-0) grass Stuttgart 60 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (2-0) grass Stuttgart 110 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Learner Tien

  • Last Match: vs Justin Engel (2-0) grass Mallorca 74 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Nicolas Jarry (0-2) grass Halle 61 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) grass Stuttgart 90 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (1-1) grass Stuttgart 105 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ben Shelton
vs
0
Learner Tien
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Ben Shelton and Learner Tien takes place in the Round of 16 at the Mallorca tournament on grass. Shelton is favored to win with a probability of 62.59%, while Tien has a 37.41% chance of emerging victorious. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Ben Shelton currently ranks 10th with a strong form index of 39.36 and an Elo rating of 1724.34. His cumulative fatigue level is at 0 minutes, indicating he has not exerted himself heavily in this tournament. Shelton's surface strength index stands at 16.58, reflecting his proficiency on grass courts. His mean serve index is notably high at 98.16, which gives him a significant advantage over Tien, who has a mean serve index of 94.80. The difference in serve strength surpasses the 5-point mark, suggesting that Shelton can consistently put pressure on Tien's service games. Additionally, Shelton's mean return index of 83.89 also exceeds Tien's return index of 89.21, although this difference is not as pronounced. Learner Tien is currently ranked 67th with a form index of 35.07 and an Elo rating of 930.77. His cumulative fatigue is considerably higher at 74 minutes, which may impact his performance against a fresher opponent. Tien’s recent performances have been mixed; he secured a win against Justin Engel in his last match but suffered two consecutive losses prior to that. In contrast, Shelton has faced challenges, losing his last two matches against top-tier opponents but displaying resilience by winning against Jiri Lehecka prior to those defeats.

Final Prediction

Ben Shelton holds the edge in this match due to his higher ranking, superior serve index, and lack of fatigue, which positions him favorably against Learner Tien. A key factor to watch will be Shelton's ability to leverage his powerful serve and maintain pressure on Tien throughout the match, especially as Tien deals with fatigue from earlier rounds.