Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Quarterfinals

Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti

Rank: #8
49%
VS

Frances Tiafoe

Rank: #15
51%
Predicted Games Played: 39.0
Predicted Winner: Frances Tiafoe

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Musetti

Form Index: 89.4
ELO Rating: 2824.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1734.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.1
Clay: 23.9
Grass: 23.1
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 88.4

Frances Tiafoe

Form Index: 85.3
ELO Rating: 1604.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1709.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.1
Clay: 14.4
Grass: 20.9
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 86.8

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Musetti

  • Last Match: vs Holger Rune (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniel Elahi Galan (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) clay Rome 123 min

Frances Tiafoe

  • Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Pablo Carreno Busta (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Roman Safiullin (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Roberto Bautista Agut (0-2) clay Hamburg 86 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Lorenzo Musetti
vs
1
Frances Tiafoe
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the 2025 Roland Garros, Lorenzo Musetti faces Frances Tiafoe on the clay surface in France. The match is expected to be closely contested, with Tiafoe slightly favored to win at a probability of 50.84%, while Musetti holds a 49.16% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 39.

Match Analysis

Lorenzo Musetti, currently ranked 8, boasts a solid form index of 89.45 and an impressive Elo rating of 2824.29, indicating his strong performance on the tour. His surface strength index of 23.94 further highlights his adaptability and skills on clay. Musetti's cumulative fatigue stands at 696 minutes, which reflects the demanding nature of his recent matches. In contrast, Frances Tiafoe, ranked 15, has a lower form index of 85.31 and an Elo rating of 1604.02. His surface strength index is also less favorable at 14.42. Tiafoe shares the same cumulative fatigue of 696 minutes, yet his recent performances have shown a clean sweep, winning all his last three matches without dropping a set. Both players exhibit strengths in their serving capabilities, with Musetti's mean serve index at 97.04, surpassing Tiafoe's 95.92 by a narrow margin. Additionally, Musetti's mean return index at 88.37 is slightly higher than Tiafoe's 86.83. The differences in these metrics suggest that Musetti may have the edge in return games, potentially creating opportunities against Tiafoe's serve. However, Tiafoe's recent performances, where he has not lost a single set in his last three matches, demonstrate his current form and mental resilience.

Final Prediction

Frances Tiafoe has a slight advantage based on his recent performances, having dominated his last few matches, while Musetti has faced some tougher contests. The key factor to watch will be how well Musetti can return Tiafoe's serve, as success in this area could tilt the match in his favor.