Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Lorenzo Musetti vs Yannick Hanfmann Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti

Rank: #9
85%
VS

Yannick Hanfmann

Rank: #125
15%
Predicted Games Played: 35.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Musetti

Ranking Trends

Lorenzo Musetti

  • Current Rank: #9 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #17 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #17 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #18 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #30 (2024-05-27)

Yannick Hanfmann

  • Current Rank: #125 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #109 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #96 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #96 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #85 (2024-05-27)

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Musetti

Form Index: 58.8
ELO Rating: 2813.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1719.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.1
Clay: 23.9
Grass: 23.1
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 88.3

Yannick Hanfmann

Form Index: 76.5
ELO Rating: 674.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1583.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.7
Clay: 6.7
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.7

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Musetti
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) clay Rome 123 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alexander Zverev (2-0) clay Rome 135 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Daniil Medvedev (2-0) clay Rome 99 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-0) clay Rome 83 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Otto Virtanen (2-0) clay Rome 85 min

Yannick Hanfmann
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Titouan Droguet (2-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Martineau (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ignacio Buse (2-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Ofner (0-2) clay Rome 89 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Taro Daniel (2-1) clay Rome 137 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Lorenzo Musetti
vs
0
Yannick Hanfmann
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the 2025 Roland Garros tournament unfolds in France, Lorenzo Musetti is set to face Yannick Hanfmann in the Round of 128 on clay. Musetti, currently ranked 9th, is heavily favored to win with a predicted probability of 84.54%, while Hanfmann holds a 15.46% chance of victory. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 35 games played.

Match Analysis

Lorenzo Musetti boasts an impressive form index of 58.76, significantly higher than Hanfmann's 76.51, indicating his current competitive edge. Musetti’s Elo rating of 2813.67 further underscores his standing among elite players, compared to Hanfmann’s 674.91. Fatigue could play a crucial role in this matchup; Musetti arrives with zero cumulative fatigue, while Hanfmann has logged 522 minutes on court during this tournament. Additionally, Musetti excels on clay with a surface strength index of 23.88, in stark contrast to Hanfmann’s 6.69. Notably, Musetti's mean serve index of 97.26 surpasses Hanfmann’s by more than 5 points, suggesting a more potent serve, while their mean return indices are closely matched, with Musetti at 88.32 compared to Hanfmann’s 86.72. In their recent performances, Musetti experienced a setback against Carlos Alcaraz but secured wins against Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev in previous matches, indicating resilience. Conversely, Hanfmann has shown strong form at Roland Garros, winning his last three matches against lower-ranked opponents, but the consistency against higher-ranked players remains to be seen.

Final Prediction

Musetti's advantages in ranking, fatigue, and serve strength provide him a significant edge going into this matchup. A key factor to monitor will be how Musetti manages to capitalize on his serve effectiveness while dealing with Hanfmann's recent momentum on clay.