Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Lorenzo Sonego vs Jaume Munar Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego

Rank: #36
49%
VS

Jaume Munar

Rank: #48
51%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Jaume Munar

Ranking Trends

Lorenzo Sonego

  • Current Rank: #36 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #44 (2025-05-19)
  • 6 Months Ago: #36 (2025-02-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #53 (2024-11-18)
  • 12 Months Ago: #58 (2024-08-19)

Jaume Munar

  • Current Rank: #48 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #58 (2025-05-19)
  • 6 Months Ago: #55 (2025-02-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #63 (2024-11-18)
  • 12 Months Ago: #82 (2024-08-19)

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Sonego

Form Index: 48.5
ELO Rating: 1071.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1598.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 173.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 8.8
Grass: 9.6
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 84.6

Jaume Munar

Form Index: 43.9
ELO Rating: 1223.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1603.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 88.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.7
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 87.4

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Sonego
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Stefan Dostanic (2-1) hard Winston Salem 173 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) hard Cincinnati 127 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Zizou Bergs (2-0) hard Cincinnati 101 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (1-2) hard Toronto 152 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-0) hard Toronto 79 min

Jaume Munar
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Mattia Bellucci (2-0) hard Winston Salem 88 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Comesana (0-2) hard Cincinnati 105 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (1-2) hard Toronto 178 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Dan Martin (2-0) hard Toronto 70 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) hard Washington 87 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Lorenzo Sonego
vs
1
Jaume Munar
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the Winston-Salem tournament progresses into the Round of 16, Lorenzo Sonego faces Jaume Munar on hard courts in North Carolina. The match is set to be closely contested, with Munar slightly favored to win, boasting a 50.98% probability compared to Sonego's 49.02%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 23.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 36th, Lorenzo Sonego holds a form index of 48.48 and an Elo rating of 1071.18. With a cumulative fatigue of 173 minutes, he may feel the strain from his recent matches, particularly his last one, which lasted 173 minutes. Sonego's surface strength index is 10.04, and he showcases a strong mean serve index of 97.51, indicating his ability to hold serve effectively. However, his mean return index of 84.60 suggests he could struggle against Munar's service games given the close matchup. On the other hand, Jaume Munar, ranked 48th, has a form index of 43.92 and a higher Elo rating of 1223.21. His lower fatigue level of 88 minutes from the current tournament may give him an advantage in stamina. Munar’s surface strength index sits at 9.63, while his mean serve index of 94.81 is slightly lower than Sonego’s, but his mean return index of 87.44 is higher, indicating a better ability to capitalize on his opponent's serve. In their recent performances, Sonego has a mixed record with one win and two losses, while Munar has shown resilience with one win and two losses as well, albeit with a more convincing victory recently against Mattia Bellucci.

Final Prediction

Jaume Munar's slightly higher Elo rating and better mean return index provide him with a crucial edge heading into this matchup. The key factor to watch will be how well Sonego can leverage his serve against Munar's capable return game, which could ultimately determine the match's outcome.