Luca Nardi vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

Denis Shapovalov, currently ranked 29th, holds a significantly higher Elo rating of 1107.60 compared to Luca Nardi's 668.50. Shapovalov's form index of 45.59 reflects better recent performance than Nardi's 32.81. Fatigue could play a role, as Nardi has accumulated 288 minutes on court in the current tournament, while Shapovalov remains fresh with 0 minutes of cumulative fatigue. On the hard surface, Shapovalov's surface strength index of 13.79 surpasses Nardi's 6.15, indicating a stronger adaptation to the court conditions. Notably, Shapovalov's mean serve index of 95.67 is closely matched to Nardi's 96.32, while the mean return index difference of 1.17 is not significant, suggesting that both players have comparable returning capabilities. In their recent performances, Nardi has shown inconsistency, winning two out of his last three matches but experiencing a loss against Alexander Blockx in between. His victory against Thiago Agustin Tirante in the last match may offer some momentum. Conversely, Shapovalov's recent form has been mixed, with a loss to Learner Tien in his last match, but he did secure victories against Aleksandar Kovacevic and Adam Walton in preceding encounters.