Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Luca Nardi vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction

Luca Nardi

Rank: #85
48%
VS

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Rank: #36
52%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Player Metrics

Luca Nardi

Form Index: 32.7
ELO Rating: 795.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1555.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 107.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.6
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 5.4
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 87.1

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 33.7
ELO Rating: 979.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1526.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.7
Clay: 10.7
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 82.7

Recent Matches

Luca Nardi

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (2-1) hard Shanghai 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (1-1) hard Tokio 137 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) hard Cincinnati 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (2-0) hard Cincinnati 42 min

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

  • Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (1-2) hard Beijing 144 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (1-2) hard Chengdu 134 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Filip Misolic (2-1) hard Chengdu 104 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Botic Van De Zandschulp (0-2) hard Winston Salem 96 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Hamad Medjedovic (2-0) hard Winston Salem 88 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Luca Nardi
vs
0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match in Shanghai, part of the Masters 1000 tournament on hard courts, features Luca Nardi facing off against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Round of 64. The predicted winner is Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, with a win probability of 51.83% compared to Luca Nardi's 48.17%. The anticipated total number of games played is set at 24.0.

Match Analysis

Luca Nardi, currently ranked 85, has a form index of 32.66 and an Elo rating of 794.99. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 107.0 minutes, which could impact his performance. Nardi's surface strength index is 7.56, while his mean serve index is 96.38, and his mean return index is 87.15. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, on the other hand, is ranked 36 with a slightly higher form index of 33.75 and an Elo rating of 979.09. Notably, Perricard has no accumulated fatigue, which gives him an advantage in stamina. His surface strength index is 9.69, with a mean serve index of 97.71 and a mean return index of 82.70. The difference in mean serve index (1.33) is not significant, but Nardi has a stronger return index by 4.45 points. In their recent performances, Nardi has shown mixed results, winning one match against Sebastian Ofner but losing the two prior matches to Matteo Arnaldi and Tomas Machac. In contrast, Perricard has faced challenges as well, losing his last two matches against Lorenzo Musetti and Alexander Shevchenko, with a solitary win against Filip Misolic. This trend suggests that both players are seeking to regain their form, yet Perricard's recent losses were against higher-ranked opponents.

Final Prediction

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard holds a slight edge due to his higher ranking, lack of accumulated fatigue, and overall stronger performance metrics, particularly his surface strength. A key factor to watch will be Nardi's ability to maintain his energy levels throughout the match, especially given his recent fatigue accumulation.