Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 128

Yunchaokete Bu vs Luciano Darderi Prediction

Yunchaokete Bu

Rank: #73
45%
VS

Luciano Darderi

Rank: #46
55%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Luciano Darderi

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Ranking Trends

Yunchaokete Bu

  • Current #73 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #68 2025-02-03
  • 6 mo ago #72 2024-11-04
  • 9 mo ago #134 2024-08-05
  • 12 mo ago #239 2024-05-06

Luciano Darderi

  • Current #46 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #46 2025-02-03
  • 6 mo ago #43 2024-11-04
  • 9 mo ago #32 2024-08-05
  • 12 mo ago #54 2024-05-06

Player Metrics

Yunchaokete Bu

Form Index: 31.9
ELO Rating: 764.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1533.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.2
Clay: 5.9
Grass: 6.2
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 86.1

Luciano Darderi

Form Index: 48.5
ELO Rating: 1169.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1570.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.9
Clay: 10.8
Grass: 10.4
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Yunchaokete Bu
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

Luciano Darderi
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Yunchaokete Bu
vs
0
Luciano Darderi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Yunchaokete Bu and Luciano Darderi at the Rome Masters 1000 offers an intriguing showdown on clay. With a predicted total of 24 games, the odds slightly favor Darderi, who holds a 54.73% chance of winning compared to Bu's 45.27%.

Match Analysis

Yunchaokete Bu, currently ranked 73, has a form index of 31.87 and an Elo rating of approximately 764. His surface strength index on clay is relatively low at 5.85, which could be a factor against a more accomplished opponent. In contrast, Luciano Darderi, ranked 46, boasts a stronger form index of 48.46 and a significantly higher Elo rating of about 1169. Darderi's surface strength index is notably better at 10.75. The mean serve index difference is minimal, with Bu at 97.73 and Darderi at 95.91, but the mean return index shows a slight edge for Darderi (86.94) over Bu (86.11), suggesting better returning capabilities. Analyzing their recent performances, Bu has struggled, losing his last two matches against Jacob Fearnley and Lorenzo Musetti, with only one victory against Albert Ramos-Vinolas in his last three outings. Darderi, meanwhile, has had a mixed bag, losing to Frances Tiafoe and Ben Shelton, but achieving a solid win against Quentin Halys. This recent form indicates that Darderi may be slightly more resilient under pressure, particularly after winning a match in the same tournament.

Final Prediction

Luciano Darderi's higher ranking, better recent form, and superior surface strength index give him the edge in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how well each player can capitalize on their service games, particularly the return game, where Darderi's slight advantage could prove decisive.

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