Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Luciano Darderi vs Yunchaokete Bu Prediction

Luciano Darderi

Rank: #30
53%
VS

Yunchaokete Bu

Rank: #89
47%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Luciano Darderi

Ranking Trends

Luciano Darderi

  • Current Rank: #30 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #59 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #57 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #44 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #42 (2024-09-30)

Yunchaokete Bu

  • Current Rank: #89 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #71 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #67 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #65 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #69 (2024-09-30)

Player Metrics

Luciano Darderi

Form Index: 44.1
ELO Rating: 1174.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1622.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 10.9
Grass: 9.6
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 85.8

Yunchaokete Bu

Form Index: 34.7
ELO Rating: 709.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1524.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 172.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 86.0

Recent Matches

Luciano Darderi
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jenson Brooksby (0-2) hard Tokio 98 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Yoshihito Nishioka (2-0) hard Tokio 120 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Tabilo (0-2) hard Chengdu 86 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Eliot Spizzirri (1-2) hard Us Open 174 min

Yunchaokete Bu
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2-1) hard Shanghai 172 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Beijing 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Zhizhen Zhang (1-2) hard Hangzhou 167 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (1-2) hard Winston Salem 158 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Mariano Navone (2-0) hard Winston Salem 100 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Luciano Darderi
vs
0
Yunchaokete Bu
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Shanghai Masters 1000, Luciano Darderi is set to face Yunchaokete Bu on hard courts. Darderi holds a slight edge in the matchup, with a predicted winning probability of 53.32% compared to Bu's 46.68%. The anticipated total number of games played is approximately 23.

Match Analysis

Luciano Darderi, currently ranked 30th, has a form index of 44.11 and an Elo rating of 1174.35, indicating a solid performance level. He has shown to be well-rested with no cumulative fatigue from the current tournament. Darderi's surface strength index is quite impressive at 7.76, reflecting his capability on hard courts, while his mean serve index at 96.71 indicates an effective serving game. Meanwhile, Yunchaokete Bu, ranked 89th, has a lower form index of 34.74 and an Elo rating of 709.93. Bu is dealing with fatigue from previous matches, having accumulated 172 minutes in the current tournament. Although Bu's surface strength index is close at 7.73, his mean serve index of 95.92 suggests he may struggle to match Darderi’s serving prowess. In their recent performances, Darderi faced mixed results, winning one of his last three matches, including a loss to Yoshihito Nishioka and Alejandro Tabilo, while triumphing against Nishioka. Bu, on the other hand, secured a victory against Juan Manuel Cerundolo in his most recent match but has also faced losses against Alex de Minaur and Zhizhen Zhang, highlighting a less consistent form.

Final Prediction

Darderi is favored to win due to his superior ranking, a stronger serve, and a lack of cumulative fatigue, which gives him an advantage heading into this matchup. A critical factor to watch will be Darderi's ability to capitalize on his serving strength, which could dictate the flow of the match.