Chengdu China Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Mackenzie McDonald vs Botic van de Zandschulp Prediction

Mackenzie McDonald

Rank: #98
40%
VS

Botic van de Zandschulp

Rank: #83
60%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Botic van de Zandschulp

Player Metrics

Mackenzie McDonald

Form Index: 42.1
ELO Rating: 528.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1601.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 163.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.0
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 86.1

Botic van de Zandschulp

Form Index: 42.3
ELO Rating: 911.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1603.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.4
Clay: 5.8
Grass: 6.6
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 88.3

Recent Matches

Mackenzie McDonald

  • Last Match: vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (2-1) hard Chengdu 112 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs James McCabe (2-0) hard Chengdu 51 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (1-2) hard Winston Salem 151 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Brandon Holt (2-1) hard Winston Salem 152 min

Botic van de Zandschulp

  • Last Match: vs Holger Rune (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-0) hard Winston Salem 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-1) hard Winston Salem 158 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Sebastian Baez (1-1) hard Winston Salem 109 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) hard Winston Salem 92 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Mackenzie McDonald
vs
0
Botic van de Zandschulp
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Mackenzie McDonald and Botic van de Zandschulp at the Chengdu tournament is set to take place on hard courts in the Round of 32. Based on statistical analysis, Botic van de Zandschulp is predicted to emerge victorious with a probability of 59.70%, while Mackenzie McDonald holds a 40.30% chance of winning. The anticipated total number of games in this contest is projected to be around 23.

Match Analysis

In terms of rankings, Botic van de Zandschulp is positioned at 83, slightly ahead of Mackenzie McDonald at 98. Both players exhibit similar form indices, with McDonald at 42.13 and van de Zandschulp at 42.30. However, the Elo ratings significantly favor van de Zandschulp, who boasts a rating of 911.25 compared to McDonald's 528.27. Notably, fatigue could play a role, as McDonald has accumulated 163 minutes on court in the current tournament, while van de Zandschulp is fresh with zero minutes of fatigue. Additionally, their surface strength indices indicate that van de Zandschulp is stronger on hard courts with a rating of 9.36 versus McDonald's 6.03. Examining their recent performances, McDonald has managed to secure victories in two out of his last three matches, including a recent win against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and a strong showing against James McCabe. Conversely, van de Zandschulp's recent form has been less favorable, with a loss to Holger Rune at the US Open, although he did record wins against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Yunchaokete Bu in prior matches at Winston-Salem. The match-up also reveals a slight edge for McDonald in mean serve index (96.42) over van de Zandschulp (94.89), but the return index favors van de Zandschulp (88.31) over McDonald (86.13), indicating he may have a stronger response on return games.

Final Prediction

Botic van de Zandschulp holds a clear advantage due to his better Elo rating and fresh condition, coupled with a stronger return index. A key factor to monitor during the match will be McDonald's ability to leverage his serve effectively against van de Zandschulp's return capabilities, as this could influence the dynamics of the match significantly.