Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Marcos Giron vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Marcos Giron

Rank: #45
63%
VS

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Rank: #56
37%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Marcos Giron

Ranking Trends

Marcos Giron

  • Current Rank: #45 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #46 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #46 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #47 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #46 (2024-07-01)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

  • Current Rank: #56 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #63 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #97 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #112 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #100 (2024-07-01)

Player Metrics

Marcos Giron

Form Index: 38.5
ELO Rating: 1361.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.2
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 11.1
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 86.5

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Form Index: 17.7
ELO Rating: 763.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1557.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.5
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 88.8

Recent Matches

Marcos Giron
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (1-2) grass Eastbourne 144 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jacob Fearnley (2-0) grass Eastbourne 63 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) grass Eastbourne 82 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) grass Halle 79 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Tallon Griekspoor (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ethan Quinn (0-2) grass Mallorca 66 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Reilly Opelka (0-2) grass London 89 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (0-2) clay Hamburg 114 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sebastian Baez (2-1) clay Hamburg 145 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Marcos Giron
vs
0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The first-round match at Wimbledon features Marcos Giron facing Camilo Ugo Carabelli on the iconic grass courts of Great Britain. As the tournament unfolds, Giron enters as the favored competitor with a 62.97% probability of winning against Carabelli's 37.03%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 36.

Match Analysis

Marcos Giron is currently ranked 45th and demonstrates solid performance metrics with a form index of 38.50 and an Elo rating of 1361.92. His surface strength index of 11.07 suggests a reasonable proficiency on grass, and he possesses a notable mean serve index of 97.24, which is 2.1 points higher than Carabelli's 95.13. Furthermore, Giron's mean return index of 86.53 surpasses Carabelli's by nearly 2 points, indicating his ability to effectively handle his opponent's serve. Both players show no fatigue, which allows for a competitive match without the physical limitations that may arise from prior matches. In their recent performances, Giron has shown resilience, defeating Jacob Fearnley and Luciano Darderi in consecutive matches, although he faced a tough loss against Taylor Fritz. Conversely, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is struggling, having lost all of his last three matches, including a disappointing performance against Ethan Quinn and Reilly Opelka, both on grass. His form index of 17.67 reflects these challenges and may impact his confidence heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Giron's superior serve and return metrics, combined with his recent match victories, provide him with a distinct advantage over Carabelli. A key factor to monitor will be Giron's serve effectiveness, as maintaining pressure on Carabelli's return game could prove instrumental in determining the match's outcome.