Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Marcos Giron vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Marcos Giron

Rank: #45
63%
VS

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Rank: #56
37%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Marcos Giron

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Ranking Trends

Marcos Giron

  • Current #45 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #46 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #46 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #47 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #46 2024-07-01

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

  • Current #56 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #63 2025-03-31
  • 6 mo ago #97 2024-12-30
  • 9 mo ago #112 2024-09-30
  • 12 mo ago #100 2024-07-01

Player Metrics

Marcos Giron

Form Index: 38.5
ELO Rating: 1361.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.2
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 11.1
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 86.5

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Form Index: 17.7
ELO Rating: 763.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1557.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.5
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 88.8

Recent Matches

Marcos Giron
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Marcos Giron
vs
0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The first-round match at Wimbledon features Marcos Giron facing Camilo Ugo Carabelli on the iconic grass courts of Great Britain. As the tournament unfolds, Giron enters as the favored competitor with a 62.97% probability of winning against Carabelli's 37.03%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 36.

Match Analysis

Marcos Giron is currently ranked 45th and demonstrates solid performance metrics with a form index of 38.50 and an Elo rating of 1361.92. His surface strength index of 11.07 suggests a reasonable proficiency on grass, and he possesses a notable mean serve index of 97.24, which is 2.1 points higher than Carabelli's 95.13. Furthermore, Giron's mean return index of 86.53 surpasses Carabelli's by nearly 2 points, indicating his ability to effectively handle his opponent's serve. Both players show no fatigue, which allows for a competitive match without the physical limitations that may arise from prior matches. In their recent performances, Giron has shown resilience, defeating Jacob Fearnley and Luciano Darderi in consecutive matches, although he faced a tough loss against Taylor Fritz. Conversely, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is struggling, having lost all of his last three matches, including a disappointing performance against Ethan Quinn and Reilly Opelka, both on grass. His form index of 17.67 reflects these challenges and may impact his confidence heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Giron's superior serve and return metrics, combined with his recent match victories, provide him with a distinct advantage over Carabelli. A key factor to monitor will be Giron's serve effectiveness, as maintaining pressure on Carabelli's return game could prove instrumental in determining the match's outcome.

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