Mariano Navone vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

Denis Shapovalov, currently ranked 30 with a relatively higher Elo rating of 1150.47, enters this match with a form index of 37.59, indicating some recent struggles despite his potential. His surface strength index of 10.06 suggests he is more adept on grass compared to Navone, who is ranked 91 and has a form index of 51.02. Navone's Elo rating is notably lower at 1133.58, and although he showcases a solid mean serve index of 96.40, Shapovalov's mean serve index is slightly less at 95.93, keeping the difference below the 5-point threshold. However, there is a significant disparity in their mean return indices, with Navone at 90.41 compared to Shapovalov's 86.03, which could favor Navone's ability to return serve effectively. Reviewing their recent performances, Navone's last three matches show a mixed bag: he lost his most recent match against Nishesh Basavareddy after winning against Sebastian Ofner but lost to Lorenzo Musetti in the French Open prior. Shapovalov, on the other hand, has had a tough time as well, losing his latest match against Flavio Cobolli and facing a similar fate in Stuttgart against Arthur Rinderknech. However, he did secure a victory over Ugo Humbert, which may boost his confidence heading into this match.