Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction

Matteo Arnaldi is currently ranked 44th, with a form index of 36.52 and an Elo rating of 1211.01. He has accumulated 162 minutes of fatigue in this tournament, which could affect his performance. His surface strength index stands at 12.03, and he boasts a mean serve index of 96.94, indicating solid serving capabilities. Notably, his mean return index is 88.11, suggesting he is adept at returning serves, although there is only a slight difference in this area compared to Sonego. Lorenzo Sonego, ranked 37th, presents a stronger form index of 72.53 and an Elo rating of 1072.09. With no recorded fatigue in this tournament so far, he is likely to enter the match refreshed. His surface strength index of 9.96 is slightly lower than Arnaldi's, but his mean serve index of 96.10 is competitive. However, Sonego's mean return index of 84.72 is lower than Arnaldi's by more than 5 points, indicating that while he serves well, he may struggle more on the return. Both players have had mixed results in their recent matches. Arnaldi's last match was a hard-fought victory against Daniel Altmaier, which lasted 162 minutes. Prior to that, he faced two defeats at Wimbledon against Botic van de Zandschulp and Jan-Lennard Struff. In contrast, Sonego's last match resulted in a defeat against Ben Shelton, but he secured a win against Brandon Nakashima in the preceding round.