Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 16

Cameron Norrie vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #90
26%
VS

Novak Djokovic

Rank: #6
74%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Novak Djokovic

Player Metrics

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 85.3
ELO Rating: 1358.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1709.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 9.6
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 88.7

Novak Djokovic

Form Index: 85.7
ELO Rating: 3382.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2567.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.3
Clay: 30.1
Grass: 33.5
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Cameron Norrie

  • Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Federico Agustin Gomez (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (1-2) clay Geneva 134 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (2-0) clay Geneva 103 min

Novak Djokovic

  • Last Match: vs Filip Misolic (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Mackenzie McDonald (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Hubert Hurkacz (2-1) clay Geneva 185 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (2-1) clay Geneva 134 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Cameron Norrie
vs
1
Novak Djokovic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 matchup at Roland Garros will see Cameron Norrie face off against Novak Djokovic on the clay courts of France. The predicted winner is Novak Djokovic, with a winning probability of 74.07%, while Cameron Norrie stands at 25.93%. The anticipated total number of games played is 38.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie, currently ranked 90th with an Elo rating of 1358.82, has demonstrated solid form with a form index of 85.27. His cumulative fatigue stands at 522 minutes, which is significant given the demanding nature of clay court play. Norrie's surface strength index is 11.25, indicating he may struggle on this surface compared to his opponent. His mean serve index of 97.26 is impressive, but with only a 5-point edge in this category over Djokovic, it might not be significant enough to counterbalance other factors. Norrie's mean return index of 88.72 is relatively close to Djokovic’s, but it still highlights a competitive gap. Conversely, Novak Djokovic is ranked 6th and possesses an Elo rating of 3382.29, reflecting his elite status in the game. His form index is notably higher at 85.74, showcasing his consistent performance. Like Norrie, Djokovic has also logged 522 minutes of fatigue, but his surface strength index of 30.10 places him as a formidable opponent on clay. Djokovic's mean serve index of 96.00 and mean return index of 87.99 indicate his well-rounded game, particularly on this surface, where he excels in both serving and returning.

Final Prediction

Djokovic's superior overall ranking, experience, and slightly better form give him a distinct edge over Norrie in this encounter. The key factor to watch will be Djokovic's return game, as his ability to neutralize Norrie's serve could significantly dictate the match's flow.