Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 32

Novak Djokovic vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Novak Djokovic

Rank: #7
65%
VS

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #36
35%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Novak Djokovic

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Ranking Trends

Novak Djokovic

  • Current #7 2025-08-18
  • 3 mo ago #6 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #7 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #7 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #2 2024-08-26

Cameron Norrie

  • Current #36 2025-08-18
  • 3 mo ago #81 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #74 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #49 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #47 2024-08-26

Player Metrics

Novak Djokovic

Form Index: 95.1
ELO Rating: 3511.9
Glicko2 Rating: 2548.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.3
Clay: 31.2
Grass: 33.4
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 87.4

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 68.1
ELO Rating: 1441.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1712.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.0
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 11.3
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 87.9

Recent Matches

Novak Djokovic
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Zachary Svajda (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Learner Tien (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alex de Minaur (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Cameron Norrie
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Novak Djokovic
vs
0
Cameron Norrie
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
2 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Novak Djokovic and Cameron Norrie in the Round of 32 at the US Open promises to be an intriguing contest on hard courts. Djokovic, currently ranked 7th, is favored to win with a probability of 65.37%, while Norrie, ranked 36th, has a 34.63% chance of pulling off an upset. The predicted total number of games played is 36.

Match Analysis

Novak Djokovic exhibits superior statistics with a form index of 95.09 and an Elo rating of 3511.89, showcasing his exceptional skill and consistency. His fatigue level stands at 348 minutes, similar to Norrie's, but his surface strength index of 31.25 significantly outmatches Norrie's 11.04. Furthermore, Djokovic's mean serve index of 96.38 surpasses Norrie's 95.35 by a small margin, while their mean return indices are closely matched, with Djokovic at 87.42 and Norrie at 87.87. In their recent performances, Djokovic has won two consecutive matches at the US Open, defeating Learner Tien and Zachary Svajda, while showcasing resilience despite a prior loss at Wimbledon to Jannik Sinner. Norrie, on the other hand, has shown commendable form by winning his last two matches at the US Open against Sebastian Korda and Francisco Comesana, although he did face a setback against Roberto Bautista Agut in the Cincinnati tournament.

Final Prediction

Djokovic's edge lies in his higher rankings, superior form, and experience in Grand Slam events, which often translates to better performance under pressure. A key factor to observe will be Djokovic's serve effectiveness, as maintaining a high level in this area could significantly impact the match's outcome.

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