Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Novak Djokovic vs Learner Tien Prediction

Novak Djokovic

Rank: #7
69%
VS

Learner Tien

Rank: #55
31%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Novak Djokovic

Ranking Trends

Novak Djokovic

  • Current Rank: #7 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #6 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #7 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #7 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #2 (2024-08-26)

Learner Tien

  • Current Rank: #55 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #67 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #83 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #123 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #191 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Novak Djokovic

Form Index: 93.0
ELO Rating: 3511.9
Glicko2 Rating: 2548.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.3
Clay: 31.2
Grass: 33.4
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 87.3

Learner Tien

Form Index: 48.6
ELO Rating: 1107.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1603.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.7
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 88.4

Recent Matches

Novak Djokovic
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alex de Minaur (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Evans (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Learner Tien
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) hard Cincinnati 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Leandro Riedi (2-0) hard Cincinnati 78 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (0-2) hard Toronto 80 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) hard Toronto 85 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Denis Shapovalov (2-0) hard Toronto 94 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Novak Djokovic
vs
0
Learner Tien
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the 2025 US Open, Novak Djokovic faces Learner Tien on hard courts in New York City. The match promises to be an intriguing contest, with Djokovic predicted to win with a probability of 68.74%, while Tien has a 31.26% chance of victory. The expected total number of games played is 36.

Match Analysis

Novak Djokovic, currently ranked 7th, has a form index of 92.99 and an impressive Elo rating of 3511.89. His surface strength index of 31.25 indicates a strong performance on hard courts, complemented by a mean serve index of 96.49 and a mean return index of 87.35. In contrast, Learner Tien, ranked 55th, has a significantly lower form index of 48.55 and an Elo rating of 1107.64. Tien's surface strength index is just 9.73, and while his mean serve index of 94.79 is competitive, it lags behind Djokovic's by more than 5 points. Furthermore, Tien's return index of 88.42 is only slightly better than Djokovic's, indicating a narrower gap. Reviewing their recent performances, Djokovic has had a mixed run at Wimbledon, losing his last match but winning two earlier rounds convincingly. Tien, on the other hand, has struggled, losing two out of his last three matches, including a recent defeat to Andrey Rublev at Cincinnati. This inconsistency could play a critical role as the match unfolds.

Final Prediction

Djokovic's superior ranking, experience, and stronger performance metrics provide him with a clear advantage over Tien. A pivotal aspect to observe during the match will be Djokovic's serve, as his high mean serve index could allow him to dominate Tien's return game and dictate the pace of play.