Geneva Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Marton Fucsovics vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Marton Fucsovics

Rank: #134
21%
VS

Novak Djokovic

Rank: #6
79%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Novak Djokovic

Player Metrics

Marton Fucsovics

Form Index: 47.0
ELO Rating: 686.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1595.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 80.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.9
Clay: 7.4
Grass: 5.2
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 87.3

Novak Djokovic

Form Index: 33.4
ELO Rating: 3381.9
Glicko2 Rating: 2567.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.3
Clay: 30.1
Grass: 33.5
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 88.8

Recent Matches

Marton Fucsovics

  • Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (2-0) clay Geneva 80 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (0-2) clay Rome 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Stefano Napolitano (2-0) clay Rome 76 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Borna Gojo (1-2) clay Madrid 103 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Sebastian Baez (0-2) clay Bucharest 83 min

Novak Djokovic

  • Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (0-2) clay Madrid 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Tabilo (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (0-2) hard Miami 123 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Grigor Dimitrov (2-0) hard Miami 70 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (2-0) hard Miami 82 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Marton Fucsovics
vs
0
Novak Djokovic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Geneva tournament, set on clay, Marton Fucsovics faces off against Novak Djokovic. Given the current form and statistical analysis, Djokovic is favored to win with a probability of 78.88%, while Fucsovics has a 21.12% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Marton Fucsovics, currently ranked 134, has a form index of 47.00 and an Elo rating of 686.49, indicating he is struggling relative to Djokovic. His cumulative fatigue stands at 80 minutes from the current tournament, which could impact his performance. In contrast, Djokovic, ranked 6th, has a significantly higher Elo rating of 3381.94 and a form index of 33.39. He has zero fatigue from the tournament so far, which could be a decisive factor in his stamina and performance throughout the match. The surface strength index heavily favors Djokovic, who holds a score of 30.10 compared to Fucsovics’ 7.42. Furthermore, Djokovic’s mean serve index is slightly lower than Fucsovics’ by 0.37, but his mean return index is better by 1.55, suggesting he may be more adept at returning serves effectively. In their recent performances, Fucsovics has shown mixed results, winning 2 out of his last 3 matches, although his most recent victory was a straight-sets win against Zizou Bergs. Conversely, Djokovic has experienced a downturn, losing all three of his recent matches, indicating a struggle to find form despite his high ranking. Both players will be looking to leverage their strengths, but Djokovic's experience and statistics suggest he will be the more formidable opponent in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Djokovic's advantages in ranking, experience, and notably lower fatigue position him as the clear favorite in this encounter. Observers should pay close attention to how Fucsovics manages his fatigue and whether he can capitalize on any potential weaknesses in Djokovic's serve throughout the match.