Auckland New Zealand Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Nuno Borges vs Eliot Spizzirri Prediction

Nuno Borges

Rank: #45
54%
VS

Eliot Spizzirri

Rank: #89
46%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Nuno Borges

Player Metrics

Nuno Borges

Form Index: 64.2
ELO Rating: 1136.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1643.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 149
Surface Strength:
Hard: 32.5
Clay: 26.1
Grass: 29.8
Serve Rating: 44.7
Return Rating: 55.0

Eliot Spizzirri

Form Index: 79.5
ELO Rating: 711.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1534.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 249
Surface Strength:
Hard: 23.8
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 16.2
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 93.5

Recent Matches

Nuno Borges

  • Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-1) hard Auckland 149 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) hard Hong Kong 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Marin Cilic (2-0) hard Hong Kong 81 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (2-0) hard Hong Kong 75 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Learner Tien (0-2) hard Paris 81 min

Eliot Spizzirri

  • Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (2-0) hard Auckland 80 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2-0) hard Auckland 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Cristian Garin (2-0) hard Auckland 82 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (0-2) hard Brisbane 79 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) hard Brussels 99 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Nuno Borges
vs
0
Eliot Spizzirri
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Auckland tournament in New Zealand, Nuno Borges is set to face Eliot Spizzirri on hard courts. With a slight edge, Borges is predicted to win with a probability of 54.01%, while Spizzirri is at 45.99%. The expected total number of games played in this matchup is around 23.

Match Analysis

Nuno Borges, currently ranked 45, has a form index of 64.15, indicating a solid level of performance recently. His Elo rating stands at approximately 1137, positioning him significantly higher than Spizzirri. Borges has a cumulative fatigue of 149 minutes from his current tournament, which may impact his stamina, yet his surface strength index of 32.46 suggests he is well-suited to the hard court. In contrast, Eliot Spizzirri, ranked 89, boasts a higher form index of 79.51 and a lower Elo rating of about 711, indicating he is performing better recently. His fatigue level is notably higher at 249 minutes, which could be a crucial factor. Spizzirri's mean serve index is 96.22, well above Borges's 44.66, highlighting a significant advantage in serving capability. Both players have performed well in their recent matches, with Borges winning two out of his last three contests, including a recent victory over Tomas Martin Etcheverry. Spizzirri, on the other hand, has been in excellent form, winning all three of his recent matches at the same tournament, which showcases his current momentum and confidence.

Final Prediction

Nuno Borges's higher rank and competitive prowess give him an edge in this matchup, despite Spizzirri's recent winning streak and superior serving statistics. A key factor to watch will be how Borges manages his fatigue levels, as this could greatly influence his performance against an in-form Spizzirri.