Adelaide Australia Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction

Reilly Opelka

Rank: #60
60%
VS

Alexei Popyrin

Rank: #50
40%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Reilly Opelka

Player Metrics

Reilly Opelka

Form Index: 46.4
ELO Rating: 845.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1534.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 30.7
Clay: 18.6
Grass: 23.0
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 15.8

Alexei Popyrin

Form Index: 0.0
ELO Rating: 973.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1680.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 32.8
Clay: 30.4
Grass: 22.6
Serve Rating: 66.4
Return Rating: 41.8

Recent Matches

Reilly Opelka

  • Last Match: vs Kamil Majchrzak (1-2) hard Brisbane 149 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Dane Sweeny (2-0) hard Brisbane 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (1-2) hard Paris 127 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mattia Bellucci (2-0) hard Paris 67 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (0-2) hard Basel 82 min

Alexei Popyrin

  • Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (1-2) hard Brisbane 114 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) hard Paris 74 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (0-2) hard Vienna 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (1-2) hard Stockholm 143 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Reilly Opelka
vs
0
Alexei Popyrin
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Adelaide tournament, Reilly Opelka is set to face Alexei Popyrin on hard court. The matchup sees Opelka as the predicted winner with a 60.04% probability of success, while Popyrin's chances stand at 39.96%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Reilly Opelka, currently ranked 60th, has a form index of 46.38 and an Elo rating of 845.61. He has shown resilience in recent matches, though his last outing resulted in a loss. His mean serve index of 94.53, significantly higher than Popyrin's 66.40, suggests a powerful serve that could dominate the match. Opelka's return index stands at 15.76, which is notably lower than Popyrin’s 41.83, indicating that while he may struggle on return, his serve is a strong asset. With no cumulative fatigue from the current tournament, Opelka will enter the match fresh. On the other hand, Alexei Popyrin, ranked 50th with an Elo rating of 973.04, has a surface strength index of 32.78, slightly above Opelka’s. However, Popyrin's form index is at 0.0, which reflects a lackluster performance in his recent matches, including his most recent loss where he won only one set. His last three matches have resulted in defeats against capable opponents, showing a pattern of struggle in closing out matches, which may affect his confidence heading into this encounter.

Final Prediction

Reilly Opelka's superior serving ability and current freshness give him a crucial edge in this matchup against Alexei Popyrin. A key factor to watch will be how Opelka’s serve impacts Popyrin's ability to return, potentially dictating the flow of the match.