S Hertogenbosch Netherlands Grass Atp 250 Round of 32

Reilly Opelka vs Jesper de Jong Prediction

Reilly Opelka

Rank: #87
38%
VS

Jesper de Jong

Rank: #92
62%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Jesper de Jong

Player Metrics

Reilly Opelka

Form Index: 41.5
ELO Rating: 788.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1628.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 162.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 3.5
Serve Rating: 98.7
Return Rating: 83.8

Jesper de Jong

Form Index: 49.9
ELO Rating: 784.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1572.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.9
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 4.5
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 87.4

Recent Matches

Reilly Opelka

  • Last Match: vs Mark Lajal (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 75 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Denis Yevseyev (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (0-2) clay Geneva 96 min

Jesper de Jong

  • Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Francesco Passaro (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) clay Rome 93 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (1-0) clay Rome 66 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (2-0) clay Rome 86 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Reilly Opelka
vs
0
Jesper de Jong
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the s'Hertogenbosch tournament in the Netherlands, Reilly Opelka will face Jesper de Jong on grass. The match features two players with recent performances that suggest a competitive encounter. Jesper de Jong is predicted to win with a probability of 62.26%, while Reilly Opelka has a probability of 37.74%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Reilly Opelka, currently ranked 87, has a form index of 41.50 and an Elo rating of 788.75. He has been experiencing fatigue, having spent 162 minutes on court in the current tournament. His surface strength index of 3.49 indicates some challenges on grass, though he boasts a solid mean serve index of 98.66. However, his mean return index of 83.83 is slightly lower than his opponent's, suggesting potential difficulties in countering effective serves. Jesper de Jong, ranked 92, has a higher form index of 49.95 and an Elo rating of 784.45. Notably, he comes into this match with zero cumulative fatigue and a stronger surface strength index of 4.46, which may give him an advantage on grass. De Jong's mean serve index of 95.84 is competitive, but his mean return index of 87.39 is notably higher than Opelka's, which could be pivotal in crucial points. In their recent matches, Opelka's last outing ended in a disappointing defeat against Mark Lajal, where he failed to win a set, following a mixed performance earlier in the tournament. Conversely, Jesper de Jong's recent performances have shown resilience, notably managing to win against Francesco Passaro before facing a tough opponent in Alexander Zverev at Roland Garros. This variance in results may contribute to De Jong's confidence heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Jesper de Jong has the edge due to his higher form index, lower fatigue levels, and superior mean return capabilities compared to Opelka. A key factor to observe will be how effectively De Jong can capitalize on Opelka's weaknesses in return situations, as this could significantly influence the match's outcome.