Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Roman Safiullin vs Holger Rune Prediction

Roman Safiullin

Rank: #82
34%
VS

Holger Rune

Rank: #9
66%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Holger Rune

Ranking Trends

Roman Safiullin

  • Current Rank: #82 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #77 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #69 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #60 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #66 (2024-08-12)

Holger Rune

  • Current Rank: #9 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #10 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #14 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #11 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #16 (2024-08-12)

Player Metrics

Roman Safiullin

Form Index: 37.7
ELO Rating: 846.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1581.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 68.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.9
Clay: 6.7
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 88.2

Holger Rune

Form Index: 46.9
ELO Rating: 2163.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1822.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.8
Clay: 20.6
Grass: 21.9
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 84.7

Recent Matches

Roman Safiullin
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alejandro Tabilo (2-0) hard Cincinnati 68 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Casper Ruud (0-2) hard Toronto 81 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ugo Blanchet (2-1) hard Toronto 141 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Luciano Darderi (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Hamad Medjedovic (1-2) grass Mallorca 146 min

Holger Rune
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alexei Popyrin (1-2) hard Toronto 123 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) hard Toronto 65 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-0) hard Toronto 76 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Nicolas Jarry (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Roberto Bautista Agut (1-2) grass London 146 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Roman Safiullin
vs
2
Holger Rune
Hard
0 - 2
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 will see Roman Safiullin take on Holger Rune on hard courts in Ohio. With a predicted winner of Holger Rune, the probabilities of victory are 34.21% for Safiullin and 65.79% for Rune, with an anticipated total of 24 games to be played during the match.

Match Analysis

Holger Rune currently holds a significant advantage in ranking, sitting at 9 compared to Roman Safiullin’s 82. Their Elo ratings further reflect this disparity, with Rune at 2163.64, indicating a much higher level of play. In terms of form, Rune's index stands at 46.86, while Safiullin's is lower at 37.73. Rune's surface strength index of 17.79 also outmatches Safiullin’s 8.87, highlighting Rune's better adaptability to hard courts. Fatigue is another factor, with Safiullin having accumulated 68 minutes in the tournament compared to Rune, who comes in fresh with zero minutes of cumulative fatigue. Both players have shown mixed results in their recent matches. Safiullin's last three matches include a convincing win against Alejandro Tabilo, but previous losses to Casper Ruud and Ugo Blanchet indicate inconsistency. In contrast, Rune’s recent performance includes a tough loss to Alexei Popyrin but prior victories over Alexandre Muller and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, showcasing his competitive edge despite the last setback.

Final Prediction

Holger Rune's edge in both ranking and recent form, along with his fresh status in the tournament, positions him strongly against Roman Safiullin. A key factor to watch will be Rune’s ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, particularly in serve and return effectiveness, where he has demonstrated superiority in his recent performances.