Stockholm Sweden Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Sebastian Korda

Rank: #63
40%
VS

Casper Ruud

Rank: #12
60%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Casper Ruud

Player Metrics

Sebastian Korda

Form Index: 50.0
ELO Rating: 1500.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1670.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 296.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.0
Clay: 15.2
Grass: 18.1
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 85.4

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 51.3
ELO Rating: 3013.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1781.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 109.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.1
Clay: 30.6
Grass: 35.0
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Sebastian Korda

  • Last Match: vs Kamil Majchrzak (2-1) hard Stockholm 153 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (2-1) hard Stockholm 143 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (0-2) hard Shanghai 97 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (1-2) hard Tokio 138 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Sho Shimabukuro (2-0) hard Tokio 80 min

Casper Ruud

  • Last Match: vs Marin Cilic (2-0) hard Stockholm 109 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (1-2) hard Shanghai 128 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-2) hard Tokio 128 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-0) hard Tokio 58 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (2-0) hard Tokio 98 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Sebastian Korda
vs
1
Casper Ruud
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the Stockholm tournament, set on hard courts, Sebastian Korda faces off against Casper Ruud. With a 60.01% probability of victory, Ruud is favored to win against Korda, who has a 39.99% chance of success. The predicted total number of games played in this matchup is estimated at 23.

Match Analysis

Casper Ruud enters this match ranked 12th with a form index of 51.28 and an impressive Elo rating of 3013.40. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 109 minutes, indicating he is relatively fresh. Ruud also boasts a surface strength index of 18.12, which reflects his proficiency on hard courts. In contrast, Sebastian Korda, ranked 63rd, has a form index of 50.01 with an Elo rating of 1500.56. His fatigue level is significantly higher at 296 minutes, suggesting he may be feeling the effects of previous matches. Notably, Ruud’s mean serve index (95.52) is slightly lower than Korda's (96.94), but Korda's mean return index (85.44) lags behind Ruud's (85.81) by a margin of just under 5 points. Both players have demonstrated contrasting recent performances. Korda's last three matches include two victories against Alexei Popyrin and Kamil Majchrzak, both at the Stockholm tournament, but he suffered a first-round defeat against Zizou Bergs in Shanghai. Ruud, on the other hand, won his last match against Marin Cilic without dropping a set while struggling against Zizou Bergs and Carlos Alcaraz in prior tournaments. This recent success bolsters Ruud's confidence heading into this quarterfinal.

Final Prediction

Casper Ruud's superior ranking, recent match success, and lower fatigue level give him a distinct advantage over Sebastian Korda. The key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Ruud’s return game, as it could significantly impact Korda’s ability to maintain service pressure throughout the match.