Stockholm Sweden Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Sebastian Korda

Rank: #63
40%
VS

Casper Ruud

Rank: #12
60%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Casper Ruud

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Player Metrics

Sebastian Korda

Form Index: 50.0
ELO Rating: 1500.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1670.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 296.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.0
Clay: 15.2
Grass: 18.1
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 85.4

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 51.3
ELO Rating: 3013.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1781.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 109.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.1
Clay: 30.6
Grass: 35.0
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Sebastian Korda

Casper Ruud

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Sebastian Korda
vs
1
Casper Ruud
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the Stockholm tournament, set on hard courts, Sebastian Korda faces off against Casper Ruud. With a 60.01% probability of victory, Ruud is favored to win against Korda, who has a 39.99% chance of success. The predicted total number of games played in this matchup is estimated at 23.

Match Analysis

Casper Ruud enters this match ranked 12th with a form index of 51.28 and an impressive Elo rating of 3013.40. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 109 minutes, indicating he is relatively fresh. Ruud also boasts a surface strength index of 18.12, which reflects his proficiency on hard courts. In contrast, Sebastian Korda, ranked 63rd, has a form index of 50.01 with an Elo rating of 1500.56. His fatigue level is significantly higher at 296 minutes, suggesting he may be feeling the effects of previous matches. Notably, Ruud’s mean serve index (95.52) is slightly lower than Korda's (96.94), but Korda's mean return index (85.44) lags behind Ruud's (85.81) by a margin of just under 5 points. Both players have demonstrated contrasting recent performances. Korda's last three matches include two victories against Alexei Popyrin and Kamil Majchrzak, both at the Stockholm tournament, but he suffered a first-round defeat against Zizou Bergs in Shanghai. Ruud, on the other hand, won his last match against Marin Cilic without dropping a set while struggling against Zizou Bergs and Carlos Alcaraz in prior tournaments. This recent success bolsters Ruud's confidence heading into this quarterfinal.

Final Prediction

Casper Ruud's superior ranking, recent match success, and lower fatigue level give him a distinct advantage over Sebastian Korda. The key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Ruud’s return game, as it could significantly impact Korda’s ability to maintain service pressure throughout the match.

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