Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Vit Kopriva vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

Vit Kopriva

Rank: #81
36%
VS

Sebastian Korda

Rank: #45
64%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Korda

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Ranking Trends

Vit Kopriva

  • Current #81 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #85 2025-05-19
  • 6 mo ago #120 2025-02-17
  • 9 mo ago #131 2024-11-18
  • 12 mo ago #118 2024-08-19

Sebastian Korda

  • Current #45 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #23 2025-05-19
  • 6 mo ago #22 2025-02-17
  • 9 mo ago #23 2024-11-18
  • 12 mo ago #16 2024-08-19

Player Metrics

Vit Kopriva

Form Index: 33.4
ELO Rating: 625.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1561.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 118.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.0
Clay: 5.6
Grass: 4.6
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 89.2

Sebastian Korda

Form Index: 63.1
ELO Rating: 1690.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1657.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.9
Clay: 15.2
Grass: 18.3
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Vit Kopriva
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

Sebastian Korda
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Vit Kopriva
vs
1
Sebastian Korda
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match in the Winston-Salem tournament features Vit Kopriva and Sebastian Korda, taking place on hard courts in North Carolina during the Round of 32. Based on current data, Sebastian Korda is favored to win with a probability of 63.65%, while Vit Kopriva has a 36.35% chance of claiming victory. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is estimated at 23.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Korda, ranked 45th, holds a significant advantage in terms of form with a form index of 63.11 compared to Kopriva's 33.38. Korda's Elo rating is substantially higher at 1690.61, reflecting his stronger performance on tour. Additionally, Korda enters this match without any cumulative fatigue, while Kopriva has accumulated 118 minutes on court during this tournament. The surface strength index further favors Korda at 14.87, compared to Kopriva's 3.97, indicating Korda's proficiency on hard courts. In terms of serving capabilities, both players are closely matched, with Korda's mean serve index at 95.55 and Kopriva's at 95.82. However, Korda's mean return index of 85.57 is weaker than Kopriva's impressive 89.24, though this difference does not exceed 5 points. Analyzing their recent performances, Kopriva managed a win against Sebastian Ofner in his last match, while Korda suffered a defeat at Roland-Garros against Frances Tiafoe, following a victory against Jenson Brooksby and Luciano Darderi in earlier rounds.

Final Prediction

Overall, Sebastian Korda's higher rank, superior Elo rating, and lack of fatigue provide him with a distinct edge in this matchup. Key to watch will be Korda's ability to adapt to the hard court surface, as both players will need to capitalize on their service games.

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