Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Sebastian Korda vs Zizou Bergs Prediction

Sebastian Korda

Rank: #74
60%
VS

Zizou Bergs

Rank: #45
40%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Korda

Ranking Trends

Sebastian Korda

  • Current Rank: #74 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #33 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #25 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #22 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #19 (2024-09-30)

Zizou Bergs

  • Current Rank: #45 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #50 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #50 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #71 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #73 (2024-09-30)

Player Metrics

Sebastian Korda

Form Index: 49.8
ELO Rating: 1544.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1668.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.2
Clay: 15.2
Grass: 18.1
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 85.3

Zizou Bergs

Form Index: 38.1
ELO Rating: 920.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1560.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.7
Clay: 7.3
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Sebastian Korda
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (1-2) hard Tokio 138 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Sho Shimabukuro (2-0) hard Tokio 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Marcos Giron (2-1) hard Tokio 149 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Yibing Wu (1-2) hard Hangzhou 109 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Adam Walton (2-0) hard Hangzhou 87 min

Zizou Bergs
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) hard Tokio 79 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alejandro Tabilo (2-1) hard Tokio 168 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juncheng Shang (1-2) hard Chengdu 130 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Sebastian Korda
vs
0
Zizou Bergs
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Sebastian Korda and Zizou Bergs in the Round of 128 at the Shanghai Masters 1000 promises to be an intriguing encounter on hard courts. Korda is predicted to win with a probability of 60.16%, while Bergs has a probability of 39.84%. The anticipated total number of games played is around 23.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Korda, currently ranked 74, boasts a form index of 49.84 and an Elo rating of 1544.00, indicating a solid overall performance. He has a surface strength index of 13.22, which suggests he performs reasonably well on hard courts. Korda's mean serve index of 96.95 gives him a slight edge over Bergs, whose mean serve index is 95.88. Furthermore, Korda's mean return index stands at 85.31, compared to Bergs' 87.96, showcasing that Bergs is slightly better at returning serves. However, the difference in the mean serve index may play a critical role in the match. Zizou Bergs ranks 45 with a form index of 38.12 and an Elo rating of 920.13, reflecting a less favorable recent performance. In his last three matches, Bergs secured one win against Alejandro Tabilo but lost to both Carlos Alcaraz and Juncheng Shang. Korda, on the other hand, won two out of his last three matches, losing only to Taylor Fritz after a strong performance against Sho Shimabukuro and Marcos Giron. This recent form gives Korda a psychological advantage heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Sebastian Korda's edge in serve strength and better recent form positions him favorably against Zizou Bergs. A key factor to observe will be Korda's ability to maintain pressure with his serve, particularly against Bergs, who has shown vulnerabilities in his recent outings. The match should provide a compelling display of both players' strengths and strategies.