Bastad Sweden Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Sebastian Ofner vs Damir Dzumhur Prediction

Sebastian Ofner

Rank: #165
53%
VS

Damir Dzumhur

Rank: #67
47%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Ofner

Ranking Trends

Sebastian Ofner

  • Current Rank: #165 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #143 (2025-04-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #115 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #74 (2024-10-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #50 (2024-07-15)

Damir Dzumhur

  • Current Rank: #67 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #65 (2025-04-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #82 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #100 (2024-10-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #107 (2024-07-15)

Player Metrics

Sebastian Ofner

Form Index: 62.3
ELO Rating: 1113.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1646.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.8
Clay: 8.9
Grass: 7.3
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 84.5

Damir Dzumhur

Form Index: 21.7
ELO Rating: 851.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1550.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.6
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 89.6

Recent Matches

Sebastian Ofner
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Grigor Dimitrov (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tommy Paul (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Hamad Medjedovic (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Mariano Navone (1-2) grass Mallorca 115 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) grass Halle 62 min

Damir Dzumhur
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Machac (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Rinderknech (1-2) grass Mallorca 151 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (0-2) grass Stuttgart 54 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Sebastian Ofner
vs
0
Damir Dzumhur
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Sebastian Ofner and Damir Dzumhur at the ATP 250 tournament in Bastad, Sweden, marks the Round of 32 on clay. With a close predicted outcome, Sebastian Ofner is slightly favored to win with a probability of 52.68%, compared to Dzumhur's 47.32%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Ofner currently holds a ranking of 165 with a form index of 62.30, which indicates a solid level of play compared to Dzumhur's rank of 67 and form index of 21.72. Ofner's Elo rating stands at 1113.28, significantly higher than Dzumhur’s 851.50, suggesting that Ofner has been performing better relative to his competition. Both players are entering this match with no cumulative fatigue, which should allow them to perform at their best. On the clay surface, Ofner has a surface strength index of 8.89, slightly surpassing Dzumhur's 7.79. Notably, Ofner has a mean serve index of 96.97, which is higher than Dzumhur's 94.68, a difference that could influence the outcome of crucial service games. In their recent matches, Ofner has shown more resilience, winning two out of his last three matches, including one against Tommy Paul at Wimbledon. Conversely, Dzumhur has struggled, losing all three of his last matches, including a straight-sets defeat to Tomas Machac, which indicates ongoing challenges in his game. This disparity in recent performance could play a significant role in the match's dynamics.

Final Prediction

Sebastian Ofner's slight edge in serve strength, higher Elo rating, and recent form suggest he is in a more favorable position heading into the match. A key factor to monitor will be Ofner's ability to capitalize on service games, especially against Dzumhur, who has been struggling to maintain consistency in his recent performances.