Geneva Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Sebastian Ofner vs Ivan Gakhov Prediction

Sebastian Ofner

Rank: #143
67%
VS

Ivan Gakhov

Rank: #317
33%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Ofner

Ranking Trends

Sebastian Ofner

  • Current Rank: #143 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #114 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #87 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #55 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #45 (2024-05-20)

Ivan Gakhov

  • Current Rank: #317 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #315 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #307 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #331 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #272 (2024-05-20)

Player Metrics

Sebastian Ofner

Form Index: 57.8
ELO Rating: 745.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1624.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 170.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.8
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 6.0
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 84.8

Ivan Gakhov

Form Index: 52.3
ELO Rating: 199.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1540.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 287.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.2
Clay: 2.4
Grass: 1.6
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 82.5

Recent Matches

Sebastian Ofner
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) clay Geneva 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Leo Borg (2-0) clay Geneva 74 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) clay Rome 76 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Frances Tiafoe (2-1) clay Rome 120 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Roberto Carballes Baena (1-0) clay Rome 50 min

Ivan Gakhov
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Kilian Feldbausch (2-1) clay Geneva 140 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Thiago Monteiro (2-1) clay Geneva 147 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Ofner (0-2) clay Geneva 94 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ethan Quinn (2-1) clay Geneva 167 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (1-2) clay Munich 162 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Sebastian Ofner
vs
0
Ivan Gakhov
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Sebastian Ofner and Ivan Gakhov in the Round of 32 at the Geneva tournament is set on a clay surface, a critical factor given the players' different strengths on this terrain. Based on current form and statistics, Sebastian Ofner is predicted to win with a probability of 66.89%, while Ivan Gakhov has a 33.11% chance of victory. The expected total number of games played in this match is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Ofner is currently ranked 143rd, with a solid form index of 57.80 and an Elo rating of 745.13. His cumulative fatigue stands at 170 minutes, indicating a manageable level for this stage of the tournament. On the clay surface, Ofner shows a surface strength index of 6.90, complemented by a robust mean serve index of 97.27 and a mean return index of 84.84. This indicates he possesses both a strong serve and an effective return game, which are crucial on clay. In contrast, Ivan Gakhov, ranked 317th, has a lower form index of 52.33 and an Elo rating of 198.96. His fatigue level is higher at 287 minutes, which could impact his performance. Gakhov's surface strength index is 2.37, and while he has a mean serve index of 94.78 and a mean return index of 82.47, the differences in their serve and return indices (Ofner leads by 2.49 and 2.37 points, respectively) suggest that Ofner may have the upper hand in both serving and returning effectively. Notably, Gakhov has recently lost to Ofner in their last encounter, which could add psychological pressure.

Final Prediction

Sebastian Ofner has a clear advantage heading into this match, bolstered by his recent victories and superior indices in both serving and returning capabilities. A key factor to watch will be Ofner's ability to maintain his energy levels and effectively exploit Gakhov's weaknesses, especially in the serve and return games.